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Serie B

Referee: S Sozza

Brescia

T T U U U

0–3

Full-time

Genoa

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

0,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,7

This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 37%

21%

52%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

28%

34%

Both score Ø 40%

45%

34%

Average goals

2,2

1,9

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 20. · Genoa 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	29	19	5	5	+30	62
2	Genoa	29	15	9	5	+17	54
3	Bari	29	13	11	5	+18	50
4	Sudtirol	29	12	12	5	+4	48
5	Pisa	29	10	12	7	+11	42
6	Reggina	28	13	3	12	+8	42
7	Cagliari	29	10	12	7	+5	42
8	Palermo	30	10	12	8	+1	42
9	Parma	29	11	8	10	+4	41
10	Modena	30	11	5	14	-2	38
11	Como	29	8	12	9	-3	36
12	Ascoli	29	9	9	11	-5	36
13	Ternana	29	9	9	11	-8	36
14	Cittadella	29	8	11	10	-9	35
15	Perugia	28	8	6	14	-4	30
16	Venezia	29	7	9	13	-9	30
17	Benevento	29	6	11	12	-8	29
18	Cosenza	29	7	8	14	-23	29
19	Spal	29	6	10	13	-9	28
20	Brescia	29	6	10	13	-18	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	14	11	2	1	+20	35
2	Cagliari	15	9	4	2	+9	31
3	Genoa	15	8	6	1	+14	30
4	Palermo	15	7	5	3	+7	26
5	Reggina	14	7	2	5	+8	23
6	Parma	15	7	2	6	+5	23
7	Ternana	14	6	5	3	+3	23
8	Sudtirol	15	5	8	2	+2	23
9	Cosenza	15	6	5	4	+2	23
10	Bari	15	5	7	3	+8	22
11	Pisa	14	6	4	4	+8	22
12	Modena	14	6	4	4	+7	22
13	Como	14	6	4	4	+4	22
14	Perugia	13	5	4	4	+3	19
15	Cittadella	14	4	7	3	-1	19
16	Brescia	15	4	5	6	-4	17
17	Spal	15	4	4	7	-1	16
18	Ascoli	14	3	5	6	-4	14
19	Venezia	15	3	5	7	-6	14
20	Benevento	15	3	4	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	14	8	4	2	+10	28
2	Frosinone	15	8	3	4	+10	27
3	Sudtirol	14	7	4	3	+2	25
4	Genoa	14	7	3	4	+3	24
5	Ascoli	15	6	4	5	-1	22
6	Pisa	15	4	8	3	+3	20
7	Reggina	14	6	1	7	+0	19
8	Parma	14	4	6	4	-1	18
9	Benevento	14	3	7	4	+0	16
10	Venezia	14	4	4	6	-3	16
11	Palermo	15	3	7	5	-6	16
12	Cittadella	15	4	4	7	-8	16
13	Modena	16	5	1	10	-9	16
14	Como	15	2	8	5	-7	14
15	Ternana	15	3	4	8	-11	13
16	Spal	14	2	6	6	-8	12
17	Cagliari	14	1	8	5	-4	11
18	Perugia	15	3	2	10	-7	11
19	Brescia	14	2	5	7	-14	11
20	Cosenza	14	1	3	10	-25	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.