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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

Utrecht

U S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 53%

56%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

67%

38%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 4. · Heerenveen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+30	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	0	2	+10	21
3	Willem II	10	5	3	2	+2	18
4	Utrecht	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+11	16
6	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	-6	16
7	Twente	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Heerenveen	8	4	1	3	-1	13
9	Cambuur	9	4	0	5	-6	12
10	Nijmegen	9	3	2	4	-6	11
11	Heracles	8	3	1	4	-3	10
12	Go Ahead Eagles	9	3	1	5	-7	10
13	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	0	4	+4	9
14	For Sittard	9	2	3	4	-8	9
15	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-3	7
16	Groningen	9	1	4	4	-7	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	4	4	-9	7
18	Zwolle	9	0	1	8	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+10	10
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Willem II	5	3	1	1	-1	10
6	Cambuur	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Go Ahead Eagles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Twente	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	For Sittard	5	2	1	2	-5	7
11	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Vitesse	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Groningen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	5	4	0	1	-1	12
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Willem II	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
9	Feyenoord	4	2	0	2	+5	6
10	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-2	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-9	3
14	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-10	1
18	Zwolle	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.