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Serie A

Referee: A Prontera

Roma

S S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Lecce

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

63%

13%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 57%

38%

75%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roma 6. · Lecce 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Atalanta	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	Udinese	9	6	2	1	+9	20
4	Milan	9	6	2	1	+9	20
5	Lazio	8	5	2	1	+12	17
6	Roma	8	5	1	2	+2	16
7	Inter	9	5	0	4	+2	15
8	Juventus	9	3	4	2	+5	13
9	Sassuolo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Torino	9	3	2	4	-3	11
11	Salernitana	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	Monza	9	3	1	5	-5	10
13	Fiorentina	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Empoli	9	1	5	3	-3	8
15	Spezia	9	2	2	5	-10	8
16	Lecce	8	1	4	3	-2	7
17	Bologna	9	1	4	4	-6	7
18	Verona	9	1	2	6	-9	5
19	Cremonese	9	0	3	6	-12	3
20	Sampdoria	9	0	3	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	5	4	0	1	+8	12
2	Milan	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Juventus	5	3	2	0	+8	11
4	Udinese	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Napoli	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Inter	4	3	0	1	+5	9
7	Fiorentina	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Atalanta	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Spezia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Salernitana	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+3	7
12	Roma	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Bologna	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Monza	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Torino	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lecce	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Verona	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Empoli	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Cremonese	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Roma	5	3	1	1	-1	10
4	Udinese	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Empoli	5	1	3	1	+0	6
7	Inter	5	2	0	3	-3	6
8	Torino	5	2	0	3	-3	6
9	Lazio	3	1	2	0	+4	5
10	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Lecce	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Monza	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Salernitana	4	0	3	1	-5	3
14	Juventus	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Cremonese	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	Verona	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Fiorentina	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Spezia	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.