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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Barcelona

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Celta

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 65%

86%

43%

Points per game

2,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

Both score Ø 29%

14%

43%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

0,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+2,6

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Celta 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+18	19
3	Ath Bilbao	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Ath Madrid	8	5	1	2	+7	16
5	Betis	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Sociedad	8	5	1	2	+2	16
7	Valencia	8	4	1	3	+6	13
8	Osasuna	8	4	1	3	+1	13
9	Villarreal	8	3	3	2	+7	12
10	Vallecano	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Celta	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Mallorca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Valladolid	8	2	2	4	-7	8
14	Girona	8	2	1	5	-3	7
15	Almeria	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Getafe	8	2	1	5	-8	7
17	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Sevilla	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Cadiz	8	1	2	5	-13	5
20	Elche	7	0	1	6	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Valencia	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Osasuna	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Celta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
9	Ath Madrid	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Almeria	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Girona	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Vallecano	3	2	0	1	+0	6
13	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
14	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Getafe	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Sevilla	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Cadiz	5	0	2	3	-9	2
19	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Espanol	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+3	8
6	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+7	7
7	Espanol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Betis	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Celta	3	1	0	2	-5	3
18	Girona	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Almeria	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Elche	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.