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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Lille

T S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Lens

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 56%

44%

67%

Points per game

1,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

89%

44%

Both score Ø 78%

100%

56%

Average goals

3,9

2,7

Scored

1,9

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 9

0 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 9. · Lens 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	2	0	+23	26
2	Lorient	10	8	1	1	+7	25
3	Marseille	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Lens	9	6	3	0	+10	21
5	Monaco	10	6	2	2	+6	20
6	Rennes	10	5	3	2	+11	18
7	Clermont	10	5	1	4	-1	16
8	Lyon	10	4	2	4	+5	14
9	Lille	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Montpellier	10	4	0	6	+0	12
11	Toulouse	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Troyes	10	3	2	5	-3	11
13	Nice	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Strasbourg	10	1	5	4	-4	8
15	Reims	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Auxerre	10	2	2	6	-12	8
17	Angers	10	2	2	6	-13	8
18	Ajaccio	10	2	1	7	-8	7
19	Nantes	10	1	4	5	-9	7
20	Brest	10	1	3	6	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Rennes	5	4	0	1	+10	12
5	Lorient	4	4	0	0	+5	12
6	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+5	10
7	Montpellier	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Clermont	5	3	0	2	-3	9
9	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Monaco	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Lille	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Troyes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Nantes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Auxerre	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Nice	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Angers	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Strasbourg	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Reims	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Ajaccio	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	5	1	0	+18	16
2	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lorient	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Lille	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Clermont	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Nice	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Lens	4	1	3	0	+3	6
9	Rennes	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Troyes	6	2	0	4	-2	6
11	Ajaccio	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Reims	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Brest	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Toulouse	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Angers	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Montpellier	4	1	0	3	+1	3
18	Auxerre	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Nantes	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Lyon	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.