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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Zaglebie

S U U S S

1–1

Full-time

Korona Kielce

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

36%

55%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

64%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 10

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zaglebie 9. · Korona Kielce 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	12	7	3	2	+2	24
2	Rakow	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Wisla Plock	12	6	3	3	+10	21
4	Pogon Szczecin	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Stal Mielec	12	6	1	5	-1	19
6	Jagiellonia	12	4	5	3	+6	17
7	Widzew Lodz	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Cracovia	12	5	2	5	+4	17
9	Zaglebie	11	4	4	3	-2	16
10	Slask Wroclaw	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	Lech Poznan	10	4	3	3	+2	15
12	Warta Poznan	12	4	2	6	-3	14
13	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-4	14
14	Gornik Zabrze	11	3	4	4	-3	13
15	Piast Gliwice	11	3	2	6	-2	11
16	Korona Kielce	11	3	2	6	-4	11
17	Lechia Gdansk	11	2	2	7	-11	8
18	Legnica	10	1	2	7	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Legia	6	5	1	0	+7	16
3	Pogon Szczecin	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	Wisla Plock	5	4	1	0	+8	13
5	Jagiellonia	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Slask Wroclaw	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Cracovia	7	3	1	3	+4	10
8	Stal Mielec	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Piast Gliwice	5	2	1	2	+3	7
10	Widzew Lodz	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Lech Poznan	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Zaglebie	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Legnica	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Warta Poznan	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	7	4	1	2	+4	13
2	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+3	10
3	Zaglebie	6	3	1	2	-2	10
4	Stal Mielec	6	3	0	3	-3	9
5	Lech Poznan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Wisla Plock	7	2	2	3	+2	8
7	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Legia	6	2	2	2	-5	8
9	Rakow	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Cracovia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Korona Kielce	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Lechia Gdansk	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Jagiellonia	5	0	4	1	-1	4
17	Piast Gliwice	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Legnica	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.