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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Charleroi
T S T T S
0–1
Full-time
Standard
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 11/8 matches
Win Ø 53%
55%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
64%
38%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Charleroi 7. · Standard 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 11 10 0 1 +15 30
2 Genk 10 9 1 0 +19 28
3 Club Brugge 11 7 1 3 +11 22
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 6 2 3 +3 20
5 Anderlecht 12 6 1 5 +9 19
6 St. Gilloise 8 6 1 1 +6 19
7 Charleroi 11 6 0 5 +1 18
8 Gent 8 4 1 3 +6 13
9 St Truiden 11 3 4 4 -1 13
10 Kortrijk 12 4 1 7 -8 13
11 Westerlo 8 4 0 4 -1 12
12 Standard 8 4 0 4 -2 12
13 Oostende 12 3 3 6 -4 12
14 Mechelen 12 3 2 7 -5 11
15 Seraing 11 3 1 7 -8 10
16 Seraing United 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Eupen 12 3 0 9 -13 9
18 Waregem 12 2 2 8 -14 8
19 Cercle Brugge 7 1 3 3 -6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Standard
Ryota Morioka 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
47′
J. Tchatchoua 1–0
own goal
A. Hosseinzadeh 🔁
↦ J. Tchatchoua
57′
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
58′
59′
🟨 Gilles Dewaele
64′
🔁 J. Laursen
↦ A. Dønnum
64′
🔁 M. Fossey
↦ G. Dewaele
66′
🟨 Marlon Fossey
Adem Zorgane 🟥
67′
A. Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ R. Morioka
71′
80′
🔁 O. Davida
↦ S. Perica
80′
🔁 D. Drăguş
↦ W. Balikwisha
Isaac Mbenza 🟨
81′
L. Bessilé 🔁
↦ Y. Badji
81′
D. Heymans 🔁
↦ S. Andreou
82′
87′
🟨 Philip Zinckernagel
88′
🔁 K. Laifis
↦ N. Raskin
90′
🟥 Jacob Laursen
91′
🟨 Philip Zinckernagel
91′
🟥 Philip Zinckernagel
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-4-1-2
1 P. Patron G
2 J. Bager D
21 S. Andreou D
12 J. Kayembe D
28 K. Nkuba M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
38 J. Tchatchoua M
44 R. Morioka F
7 I. Mbenza F
10 Y. Badji F
Bench (7)
99 A. Hosseinzadeh
8 A. Gholizadeh
5 L. Bessilé
18 D. Heymans
25 D. Marcq
40 M. Chiacig
31 M. Wasinski

Coach: E. Still

Standard

3-5-2
16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
20 M. Bokadi D
8 G. Cimirot D
2 G. Dewaele M
22 W. Balikwisha M
26 N. Raskin M
14 S. Alzate M
11 A. Dønnum M
28 S. Perica F
77 P. Zinckernagel F
Bench (7)
38 J. Laursen
13 M. Fossey
17 O. Davida
7 D. Drăguş
34 K. Laifis
30 L. Henkinet
21 F. Melegoni

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,66
B ✓
3,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.