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Bundesliga

Referee: B Dankert

Stuttgart

U U U T T

0–1

Full-time

Union Berlin

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

63%

Points per game

0,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

9 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 17. · Union Berlin 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Freiburg	9	5	3	1	+6	18
2	Union Berlin	8	5	2	1	+9	17
3	Bayern Munich	9	4	4	1	+17	16
4	Dortmund	9	5	1	3	+1	16
5	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+6	15
6	M'gladbach	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Hoffenheim	9	4	2	3	+4	14
8	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	+0	14
9	FC Koln	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Augsburg	9	4	1	4	-4	13
11	RB Leipzig	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Mainz	9	3	3	3	-4	12
13	Wolfsburg	9	2	3	4	-6	9
14	Hertha	9	1	5	3	-2	8
15	Leverkusen	9	2	2	5	-3	8
16	Schalke 04	9	1	3	5	-11	6
17	Stuttgart	8	0	5	3	-4	5
18	Bochum	9	1	1	7	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	5	4	0	1	+8	12
2	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Union Berlin	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Freiburg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	+2	4
12	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Hertha	5	0	4	1	-1	4
14	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Augsburg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Bochum	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Mainz	4	0	3	1	-3	3
18	Stuttgart	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Werder Bremen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Augsburg	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Mainz	5	3	0	2	-1	9
5	Bayern Munich	5	2	2	1	+11	8
6	Union Berlin	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	FC Koln	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Hertha	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Wolfsburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	M'gladbach	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-7	2
17	RB Leipzig	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Bochum	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.