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Conference League
Referee: N Walsh
AZ Alkmaar
S U S S U
4–1
Full-time
Vaduz
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Vaduz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Conference League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 65%
86%
43%
Points per game
2,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
57%
14%
Both score Ø 36%
14%
57%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 5
12 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Vaduz
1–0 Y. Barası ⚽
T. Reijnders
19′
22′
⚽ A. Goelzer 1–1
T. Çiçek
29′
🟨 Gabriel Isik
Half-time 1–1
61′
🟥 Benjamin Büchel
64′
🔁 Gion Chande
↦ T. Çiçek
64′
🔁 F. Fehr
↦ A. Goelzer
M. Dekker 🔁
↦ B. Martins Indi
67′
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ Y. Barası
67′
P. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ J. Clasie
67′
M. Kerkez 🔁
↦ M. de Wit
79′
R. Bazoer 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
79′
2–1 S. Beukema ⚽
M. Kerkez
81′
83′
🟨 Kristijan Dobraš
87′
🔁 R. Fosso
↦ L. Traber
87′
🔁 D. Đokić
↦ D. Ulrich
3–1 Y. Sugawara ⚽
D. de Wit
92′
4–1 D. de Wit ⚽
M. Kerkez
95′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
12 H. Verhulst G
2 Y. Sugawara D
31 S. Beukema D
4 B. Martins Indi D
34 M. de Wit D
6 T. Reijnders M
10 D. de Wit M
8 J. Clasie M
7 J. Odgaard F
17 Y. Barası F
19 M. van Brederode F
Bench (12)
22 M. Dekker
23 M. Lahdo
14 P. Koopmeiners
5 M. Kerkez
25 R. Bazoer
13 S. Westerveld
39 I. Griffith
28 Z. Buurmeester
1 P. Vindahl
27 Z. Vanheusden
3 P. Hatzidiakos
32 F. de Jong

Coach: P. Jansen

Vaduz

3-5-2
1 B. Büchel G
24 C. Gasser D
29 G. Isik D
28 L. Traber D
23 D. Ulrich M
14 M. Gajić M
77 K. Dobras M
4 N. Hasler M
3 A. Goelzer M
27 F. Sasere F
10 T. Çiçek F
Bench (12)
42 Gion Chande
47 F. Fehr
80 R. Fosso
19 D. Đokić
21 A. Xhemajli
9 M. Sutter
7 M. Hadzi
25 G. Foser
13 K. Iodice
74 E. Rastoder
53 G. Pepsi
5 A. Omerovic

Coach: A. Mangiarratti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.