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Super League
Referee: Gustavo Correia
0–2
Full-time
AEK
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Super League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 61%
50%
71%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 31%
33%
29%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
4 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 24
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · AEK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 7 7 0 0 +10 21
2 Volos NFC 8 5 2 1 +7 17
3 AEK 7 5 0 2 +10 15
4 Olympiakos 8 4 2 2 +5 14
5 Panetolikos 8 4 1 3 +4 13
6 PAOK 8 3 4 1 +2 13
7 Aris Thessalonikis 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Aris 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Atromitos 6 2 2 2 +2 8
10 Asteras Tripolis 8 1 4 3 -3 7
11 Lamia 7 1 4 2 -3 7
12 OFI Crete 7 1 1 5 -7 4
13 Giannina 6 1 1 4 -9 4
14 Levadeiakos 8 0 3 5 -9 3
15 Ionikos 7 0 2 5 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis AEK
6′
🟨 Harold Moukoudi
28′
D. Szymański 0–1
M. Gaćinović
Half-time 0–2
50′
L. Garcia 0–2
S. Araújo
54′
🟨 Sergio Araujo
M. Odubajo 🔁
↦ S. MBakata
58′
Y. Gervinho 🔁
↦ A. Gray
58′
L. Palma 🔁
↦ M. García
66′
P. Diop 🔁
↦ J. Iturbe
66′
Bryan Dabo 🟨
73′
80′
🔁 S. Zuber
↦ M. Gaćinović
81′
🟨 Giorgos Athanasiadis
81′
🔁 N. Amrabat
↦ N. Eliasson
Rafael Camacho 🔁
↦ Manu García
82′
90′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ L. Garcia
90′
🔁 J. Jønsson
↦ O. Pineda
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-3-3
23 Julián G
2 S. M'Bakata D
4 Fabiano D
3 N. N'Koulou D
18 B. Mazikou D
10 M. García M
6 B. Dabo M
19 Manu García M
7 D. Mancini F
9 A. Gray F
11 J. Iturbe F
Bench (9)
22 M. Odubajo
27 Y. Gervinho
17 L. Palma
24 P. Diop
64 Rafael Camacho
50 K. Tanoulis
99 M. Siampanis
43 M. Peersman
13 O. Etebo

Coach: A. Pardew

AEK

4-3-1-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
3 M. Mohammadi D
19 N. Eliasson M
4 D. Szymański M
8 M. Gaćinović M
13 O. Pineda M
7 L. Garcia F
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
10 S. Zuber
5 N. Amrabat
20 P. Mantalos
6 J. Jønsson
14 A. Fransson
24 G. Mitoglou
61 V. Chatziemmanouil
29 D. Sidibé
28 E. Hajsafi

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.