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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Utrecht

U U T U S

2–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 40%

25%

54%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

50%

85%

Both score Ø 80%

83%

77%

Average goals

2,8

4,1

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

14 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 11. · AZ Alkmaar 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+42	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+22	33
3	Vitesse	14	9	2	3	+12	29
4	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+17	27
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	5	1	+13	26
6	Groningen	14	8	2	4	+3	26
7	Twente	14	7	3	4	+8	24
8	Heerenveen	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	2	6	+1	17
10	Zwolle	14	3	7	4	-6	16
11	Utrecht	12	3	6	3	-3	15
12	Heracles	14	4	3	7	-9	15
13	For Sittard	14	3	4	7	-12	13
14	Waalwijk	14	3	3	8	-13	12
15	Willem II	14	2	3	9	-14	9
16	VVV Venlo	14	2	3	9	-22	9
17	Den Haag	14	1	4	9	-22	7
18	FC Emmen	14	0	5	9	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Vitesse	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+19	18
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Groningen	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+7	11
7	Twente	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Heerenveen	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+0	9
10	Zwolle	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	+2	8
12	For Sittard	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Heracles	6	2	1	3	+2	7
14	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Waalwijk	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	2	4	-17	5
17	FC Emmen	7	0	3	4	-9	3
18	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+23	16
2	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	Twente	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Groningen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
7	Vitesse	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-11	8
11	Zwolle	7	1	4	2	-6	7
12	Utrecht	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	Waalwijk	7	2	0	5	-8	6
14	For Sittard	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-13	5
16	VVV Venlo	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	FC Emmen	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.