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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

AZ Alkmaar

U U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 18/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

56%

31%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

83%

44%

Both score Ø 76%

83%

69%

Average goals

3,9

2,6

Scored

2,4

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · Utrecht 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	18	14	2	2	+46	44
2	PSV Eindhoven	19	13	4	2	+26	43
3	Vitesse	18	13	2	3	+19	41
4	AZ Alkmaar	18	10	7	1	+17	37
5	Feyenoord	16	10	3	3	+18	33
6	Groningen	18	10	3	5	+6	33
7	Twente	18	8	4	6	+8	28
8	Utrecht	16	5	7	4	-1	22
9	Heerenveen	18	5	7	6	-2	22
10	Heracles	19	6	4	9	-8	22
11	Zwolle	19	4	9	6	-7	21
12	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	2	9	-3	20
13	For Sittard	18	5	4	9	-10	19
14	VVV Venlo	18	5	4	9	-17	19
15	Waalwijk	18	3	5	10	-16	14
16	Den Haag	19	2	5	12	-28	11
17	Willem II	18	2	4	12	-18	10
18	FC Emmen	19	0	6	13	-30	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+15	24
3	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+20	22
4	Groningen	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+8	17
6	Utrecht	9	4	4	1	+3	16
7	Feyenoord	7	4	2	1	+7	14
8	Heracles	9	4	1	4	+5	13
9	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Twente	10	3	2	5	-1	11
11	Zwolle	10	2	5	3	-2	11
12	VVV Venlo	9	2	3	4	-16	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	2	5	-2	8
14	For Sittard	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-6	7
16	Willem II	9	2	1	6	-8	7
17	Den Haag	9	0	3	6	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	10	0	3	7	-17	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+26	22
2	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	5	0	+9	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	5	4	1	+11	19
4	Feyenoord	9	6	1	2	+11	19
5	Twente	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	+6	16
7	Groningen	8	5	0	3	+1	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	8	4	0	4	-1	12
9	Heerenveen	10	2	5	3	-3	11
10	For Sittard	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	VVV Venlo	9	3	1	5	-1	10
12	Zwolle	9	2	4	3	-5	10
13	Heracles	10	2	3	5	-13	9
14	Den Haag	10	2	2	6	-16	8
15	Waalwijk	9	2	1	6	-10	7
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Willem II	9	0	3	6	-10	3
18	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.