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Conference League
Referee: F Jović
Gil Vicente
S S T T U
1–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
1,0
3,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,8
This season — Conference League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 57%
33%
80%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
1,7
3,2
Conceded
1,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 6
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Gil Vicente AZ Alkmaar
Kevin Villodres 🟨
27′
31′
🟨 Sam Beukema
Half-time 0–0
Fran Navarro 🔁
↦ Élder Santana
53′
K. Fujimoto 🔁
↦ Matheus Bueno
53′
J. Boselli 🔁
↦ Kevin Villodres
53′
60′
H. Evjen 0–1
63′
T. Reijnders 0–2
65′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ H. Evjen
65′
🔁 Y. Sugawara
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
65′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ M. van Brederode
Vitor Carvalho 🔁
↦ Pedro Tiba
69′
73′
🔁 M. de Wit
↦ M. Kerkez
73′
🔁 Y. Barası
↦ Vangelis Pavlidis
E. Hackman 🔁
↦ Carraça
79′
1–2 J. Boselli
86′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
12 Brian Araújo G
15 Carraça D
3 Lucas Cunha D
72 Tomás Araújo D
19 Adrián Marín D
25 Pedro Tiba M
8 G. Aburjania M
57 Matheus Bueno M
17 Kevin Villodres F
93 Élder Santana F
18 M. Arai F
Bench (11)
9 Fran Navarro
10 K. Fujimoto
20 J. Boselli
21 Vitor Carvalho
5 E. Hackman
4 Manuel Lopes
11 Boubacar Hanne
30 A. Alipourghara
42 Andrew
26 Rúben Fernandes
16 Andre Simões

Coach: Ivo Vieira

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
4 B. Martins Indi D
5 M. Kerkez D
6 T. Reijnders M
10 D. de Wit M
8 J. Clasie M
18 H. Evjen F
9 Vangelis Pavlidis F
33 M. van Brederode F
Bench (11)
7 J. Odgaard
2 Y. Sugawara
23 M. Lahdo
34 M. de Wit
17 Y. Barası
1 P. Vindahl
28 Z. Buurmeester
15 A. Witry
14 P. Koopmeiners
13 S. Westerveld
22 M. Dekker

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.