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Conference League
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
AZ Alkmaar
S T S S S
4–0
Full-time
Gil Vicente
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
13 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.