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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

AZ Alkmaar

S S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

3,2

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

30 Shots 4

13 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 11

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · Nijmegen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+17	12
2	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Twente	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+5	8
7	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-5	6
8	Groningen	4	1	2	1	-4	5
9	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Cambuur	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
13	Volendam	4	1	1	2	-8	4
14	Waalwijk	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Vitesse	4	0	1	3	-9	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	0	4	-7	0
18	For Sittard	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Twente	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	FC Emmen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Volendam	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-7	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Cambuur	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Waalwijk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
14	Volendam	2	0	1	1	-6	1
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.