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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Willem II

U T T S T

2–0

Full-time

Heracles

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 26%

23%

29%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

52%

39%

Both score Ø 45%

42%

48%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%

21 Shots 3

11 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

9 Corners 0

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Willem II 18. · Heracles 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	31	25	3	3	+74	78
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	24	2	5	+42	74
3	Feyenoord	31	21	4	6	+42	67
4	Twente	32	18	8	6	+14	62
5	AZ Alkmaar	27	15	4	8	+17	49
6	Utrecht	29	12	8	9	+9	44
7	Vitesse	27	13	3	11	-8	42
8	Groningen	31	9	9	13	-9	36
9	Go Ahead Eagles	31	10	6	15	-10	36
10	Heerenveen	29	9	8	12	-8	35
11	Nijmegen	31	9	8	14	-13	35
12	Cambuur	32	10	5	17	-18	35
13	Heracles	31	9	7	15	-10	34
14	Waalwijk	32	7	11	14	-15	32
15	For Sittard	32	9	5	18	-31	32
16	Zwolle	31	7	5	19	-23	26
17	Sparta Rotterdam	31	5	11	15	-23	26
18	Willem II	31	7	5	19	-30	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	1	2	+49	40
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	0	3	+26	39
3	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+23	35
4	Twente	16	9	5	2	+12	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
6	Utrecht	15	8	4	3	+12	28
7	Heracles	16	7	5	4	+3	26
8	Go Ahead Eagles	16	7	1	8	+2	22
9	For Sittard	16	6	2	8	-10	20
10	Groningen	15	4	6	5	-1	18
11	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-3	18
12	Willem II	15	5	3	7	-7	18
13	Waalwijk	16	5	3	8	-10	18
14	Cambuur	16	5	2	9	-6	17
15	Sparta Rotterdam	16	3	7	6	-7	16
16	Vitesse	13	5	1	7	-9	16
17	Zwolle	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Nijmegen	15	2	5	8	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+25	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	2	2	+16	35
3	Feyenoord	16	10	2	4	+19	32
4	Twente	16	9	3	4	+2	30
5	Vitesse	14	8	2	4	+1	26
6	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	-4	24
7	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	2	6	+2	20
8	Groningen	16	5	3	8	-8	18
9	Cambuur	16	5	3	8	-12	18
10	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-5	17
11	Utrecht	14	4	4	6	-3	16
12	Waalwijk	16	2	8	6	-5	14
13	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	5	7	-12	14
14	Zwolle	16	4	1	11	-17	13
15	For Sittard	16	3	3	10	-21	12
16	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	4	9	-16	10
17	Heracles	15	2	2	11	-13	8
18	Willem II	16	2	2	12	-23	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.