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LaLiga2

Ponferradina

T T S S S

3–1

Full-time

Burgos

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,2

1,7

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches

Win Ø 40%

42%

37%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

55%

34%

Both score Ø 45%

63%

26%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

13 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 3

16 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 8. · Burgos 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	39	23	7	9	+31	76
2	Eibar	38	21	11	6	+16	74
3	Valladolid	38	20	9	9	+20	69
4	Tenerife	38	19	9	10	+20	66
5	Oviedo	39	16	16	7	+16	64
6	Girona	38	19	7	12	+15	64
7	Las Palmas	39	16	13	10	+6	61
8	Ponferradina	38	16	12	10	+6	60
9	Cartagena	38	16	4	18	+0	52
10	Huesca	39	12	15	12	+8	51
11	Ibiza	38	12	15	11	+0	51
12	Burgos	38	14	8	16	+1	50
13	Leganes	38	12	13	13	-3	49
14	Zaragoza	38	10	19	9	-6	49
15	Lugo	38	9	19	10	-4	46
16	Mirandes	39	13	7	19	-10	46
17	Sp Gijon	39	10	12	17	-5	42
18	Malaga	39	10	12	17	-21	42
19	Sociedad B	39	10	10	19	-14	40
20	Amorebieta	39	7	16	16	-16	37
21	Fuenlabrada	39	5	14	20	-24	29
22	Alcorcon	38	4	10	24	-36	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	20	14	3	3	+23	45
2	Eibar	19	13	5	1	+16	44
3	Valladolid	19	12	4	3	+20	40
4	Girona	19	12	3	4	+19	39
5	Las Palmas	20	11	5	4	+10	38
6	Oviedo	19	10	7	2	+18	37
7	Cartagena	19	12	1	6	+17	37
8	Burgos	19	10	5	4	+15	35
9	Ponferradina	19	9	7	3	+13	34
10	Tenerife	19	9	5	5	+12	32
11	Mirandes	19	10	2	7	+6	32
12	Lugo	19	8	8	3	+4	32
13	Leganes	19	7	8	4	+3	29
14	Zaragoza	19	6	10	3	+3	28
15	Malaga	20	7	7	6	-5	28
16	Ibiza	19	6	9	4	+6	27
17	Huesca	20	6	9	5	+5	27
18	Amorebieta	19	6	8	5	+2	26
19	Sp Gijon	19	7	3	9	+0	24
20	Fuenlabrada	20	4	9	7	-3	21
21	Sociedad B	19	4	4	11	-10	16
22	Alcorcon	19	2	7	10	-16	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	19	10	4	5	+8	34
2	Almeria	19	9	4	6	+8	31
3	Eibar	19	8	6	5	+0	30
4	Valladolid	19	8	5	6	+0	29
5	Oviedo	20	6	9	5	-2	27
6	Ponferradina	19	7	5	7	-7	26
7	Girona	19	7	4	8	-4	25
8	Huesca	19	6	6	7	+3	24
9	Sociedad B	20	6	6	8	-4	24
10	Ibiza	19	6	6	7	-6	24
11	Las Palmas	19	5	8	6	-4	23
12	Zaragoza	19	4	9	6	-9	21
13	Leganes	19	5	5	9	-6	20
14	Sp Gijon	20	3	9	8	-5	18
15	Burgos	19	4	3	12	-14	15
16	Cartagena	19	4	3	12	-17	15
17	Lugo	19	1	11	7	-8	14
18	Malaga	19	3	5	11	-16	14
19	Mirandes	20	3	5	12	-16	14
20	Amorebieta	20	1	8	11	-18	11
21	Alcorcon	19	2	3	14	-20	9
22	Fuenlabrada	19	1	5	13	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.