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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
Preston
S U T T S
4–1
Full-time
Middlesbrough
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Championship · 47/47 matches
Win Ø 42%
36%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
45%
38%
Both score Ø 48%
51%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Preston 13. · Middlesbrough 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 47 29 9 9 +69 96
2 Bournemouth 47 24 15 8 +34 87
3 Nott'm Forest 44 24 8 12 +34 80
4 Huddersfield 44 22 13 9 +18 79
5 Sheffield United 45 22 10 13 +20 76
6 Middlesbrough 47 22 10 15 +18 76
7 Luton 45 21 12 12 +12 75
8 Millwall 47 19 15 13 +11 72
9 West Brom 47 19 13 15 +7 70
10 Blackburn 47 19 12 16 +11 69
11 Coventry 47 19 12 16 +7 69
12 Swansea 47 18 13 16 -5 67
13 Preston 47 17 16 14 -5 67
14 Stoke 47 18 11 18 +7 65
15 Blackpool 47 17 12 18 -2 63
16 QPR 47 18 9 20 -3 63
17 Bristol City 47 16 11 20 -12 59
18 Derby 47 15 13 19 -7 58
19 Cardiff 47 15 9 23 -15 54
20 Hull 47 15 8 24 -11 53
21 Reading 47 14 9 24 -30 51
22 Birmingham 47 11 15 21 -27 48
23 Peterboro 46 9 10 27 -44 37
24 Peterborough 45 8 10 27 -49 34
25 Barnsley 47 6 13 28 -38 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Middlesbrough
1–0 A. Browne
B. Potts
24′
1–1 D. Fry
own goal
35′
Sepp van den Berg 🟨
45′
Daniel Johnson 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Luke Daniels
45′
🟨 Paddy McNair
Half-time 1–2
48′
M. Tavernier 1–2
A. Dijksteel
2–2 E. Riis
C. Archer
53′
Alistair McCann 🟨
56′
58′
🟨 Anfernee Dijksteel
62′
🔁 F. Balogun
↦ A. Šporar
62′
🔁 J. Coburn
↦ D. Watmore
66′
🟨 Dael Fry
66′
🔁 A. Connolly
↦ A. Dijksteel
72′
🟨 Isaiah Jones
73′
🟥 Paddy McNair
3–2 E. Riis
74′
P. Huntington 🔁
↦ Bambo Diaby
80′
M. O'Neil 🔁
↦ E. Riis
82′
84′
🟨 Matt Crooks
R. Ledson 🔁
↦ B. Whiteman
86′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Preston

3-1-4-2
12 D. Iversen G
6 L. Lindsay D
41 Bambo Diaby D
2 S. van den Berg D
11 D. Johnson M
44 B. Potts M
8 A. Browne M
4 B. Whiteman M
13 A. McCann M
19 E. Riis F
21 C. Archer F
Bench (7)
23 P. Huntington
39 M. O'Neil
18 R. Ledson
24 S. Maguire
9 C. Evans
3 G. Cunningham
25 C. Ripley

Coach: R. Lowe

Middlesbrough

3-5-2
28 L. Daniels G
2 A. Dijksteel D
16 J. Howson M
25 M. Crooks M
17 P. McNair D
18 D. Watmore F
6 D. Fry D
7 M. Tavernier M
48 R. McGree M
11 A. Šporar F
35 I. Jones M
Bench (7)
47 F. Balogun
37 J. Coburn
26 A. Connolly
1 J. Lumley
14 L. Peltier
22 S. Bamba
27 M. Bola

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,87
U
4,09
B
1,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.