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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

PSV Eindhoven

S S U S S

4–2

Full-time

Willem II

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,7

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 50%

77%

23%

Points per game

2,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

77%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

63%

40%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Willem II 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	31	25	3	3	+74	78
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	23	2	5	+40	71
3	Feyenoord	30	20	4	6	+40	64
4	Twente	31	18	8	5	+15	62
5	AZ Alkmaar	27	15	4	8	+17	49
6	Utrecht	29	12	8	9	+9	44
7	Vitesse	26	12	3	11	-9	39
8	Groningen	30	9	9	12	-7	36
9	Go Ahead Eagles	30	10	6	14	-9	36
10	Heerenveen	29	9	8	12	-8	35
11	Nijmegen	31	9	8	14	-13	35
12	Heracles	31	9	7	15	-10	34
13	Cambuur	31	10	4	17	-18	34
14	For Sittard	30	8	5	17	-30	29
15	Waalwijk	30	6	10	14	-17	28
16	Zwolle	31	7	5	19	-23	26
17	Sparta Rotterdam	31	5	11	15	-23	26
18	Willem II	30	7	5	18	-28	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	1	2	+49	40
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	12	0	3	+24	36
3	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+23	35
4	Twente	15	9	5	1	+13	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
6	Utrecht	15	8	4	3	+12	28
7	Heracles	16	7	5	4	+3	26
8	Go Ahead Eagles	15	7	1	7	+3	22
9	For Sittard	15	6	2	7	-8	20
10	Groningen	15	4	6	5	-1	18
11	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-3	18
12	Willem II	15	5	3	7	-7	18
13	Cambuur	15	5	1	9	-6	16
14	Sparta Rotterdam	16	3	7	6	-7	16
15	Vitesse	13	5	1	7	-9	16
16	Waalwijk	15	4	3	8	-12	15
17	Zwolle	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Nijmegen	15	2	5	8	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+25	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	2	2	+16	35
3	Twente	16	9	3	4	+2	30
4	Feyenoord	15	9	2	4	+17	29
5	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	-4	24
6	Vitesse	13	7	2	4	+0	23
7	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	2	6	+2	20
8	Groningen	15	5	3	7	-6	18
9	Cambuur	16	5	3	8	-12	18
10	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-5	17
11	Utrecht	14	4	4	6	-3	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	5	7	-12	14
13	Waalwijk	15	2	7	6	-5	13
14	Zwolle	16	4	1	11	-17	13
15	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	4	9	-16	10
16	For Sittard	15	2	3	10	-22	9
17	Heracles	15	2	2	11	-13	8
18	Willem II	15	2	2	11	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.