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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Willem II
U T U T T
1–0
Full-time
Vitesse
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 29/25 matches
Win Ø 35%
21%
48%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
60%
Both score Ø 45%
41%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 18. · Vitesse 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 30 24 3 3 +71 75
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 23 2 5 +40 71
3 Feyenoord 29 19 4 6 +39 61
4 Twente 30 18 7 5 +15 61
5 AZ Alkmaar 26 15 3 8 +17 48
6 Utrecht 27 11 8 8 +9 41
7 Vitesse 25 12 3 10 -8 39
8 Groningen 29 9 9 11 -6 36
9 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 6 13 -8 36
10 Nijmegen 30 9 8 13 -12 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 34
12 Cambuur 30 10 3 17 -18 33
13 Heracles 29 8 6 15 -11 30
14 Waalwijk 30 6 10 14 -17 28
15 Zwolle 30 7 5 18 -20 26
16 For Sittard 29 7 5 17 -31 26
17 Sparta Rotterdam 30 5 10 15 -23 25
18 Willem II 29 6 5 18 -29 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Vitesse
1–0 J. Hornkamp
L. Owusu
4′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 Jacob Rasmussen
57′
🟨 Riechedly Bazoer
62′
🟨 Sondre Tronstad
72′
🔁 S. van Duivenbooden
↦ D. Huisman
E. Kabangu 🔁
↦ J. Hornkamp
73′
79′
🟨 Matúš Bero
D. Crowley 🔁
↦ M. Svensson
84′
84′
🔁 M. Jonathans
↦ M. Manhoef
G. Roemeratoe 🔁
↦ M. Köhlert
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Willem II

4-2-3-1
21 T. Wellenreuther G
3 F. Heerkens D
13 L. Owusu D
6 W. Dammers D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
11 M. Köhlert M
7 C. Nunnely M
15 M. Svensson M
9 J. Hornkamp F
Bench (11)
14 E. Kabangu
19 D. Crowley
20 G. Roemeratoe
32 A. El Khayati
22 W. Spieringhs
24 C. van den Berg
26 J. Brondeel
2 K. Ludewig
4 U. Jenssen
5 E. Bergström
10 A. Kampetsis

Coach: K. Hofland

Vitesse

3-1-4-2
1 M. Schubert G
2 E. Dasa M
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
42 M. Manhoef M
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
40 D. Huisman M
9 A. Grbić F
7 L. Openda F
Bench (9)
53 S. van Duivenbooden
50 M. Jonathans
36 P. Vroegh
18 T. Hájek
33 D. Reiziger
39 E. Cornelisse
23 E. Verstappen
27 R. Yapi
22 T. Domgjoni

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,58
U
3,47
B
2,04
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.