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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
4–0
Full-time
Willem II
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
32%
21%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
46%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 9
3 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 10. · Willem II 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 28 22 3 3 +69 69
2 PSV Eindhoven 28 21 2 5 +37 65
3 Feyenoord 28 18 4 6 +36 58
4 Twente 28 16 7 5 +11 55
5 AZ Alkmaar 25 15 3 7 +18 48
6 Utrecht 26 11 7 8 +9 40
7 Groningen 28 9 9 10 -4 36
8 Vitesse 23 11 3 9 -8 36
9 Nijmegen 28 9 8 11 -9 35
10 Go Ahead Eagles 28 9 6 13 -12 33
11 Cambuur 28 10 3 15 -16 33
12 Heerenveen 27 8 7 12 -10 31
13 Heracles 28 8 6 14 -8 30
14 Waalwijk 28 6 10 12 -13 28
15 Willem II 28 6 5 17 -25 23
16 Sparta Rotterdam 26 4 10 12 -18 22
17 For Sittard 27 6 4 17 -34 22
18 Zwolle 28 5 5 18 -23 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,33
B
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.