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Süper Lig
Referee: Ü Öztürk
Ad. Demirspor
U S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Alanyaspor
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 43%
40%
46%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
49%
57%
Both score Ø 56%
51%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
7 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 8. · Alanyaspor 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 36 22 12 2 +34 78
2 Fenerbahce 35 20 8 7 +30 68
3 Konyaspor 35 19 7 9 +20 64
4 Buyuksehyr 35 18 6 11 +18 60
5 Karagumruk 36 16 8 12 -4 56
6 Alanyaspor 35 16 7 12 +4 55
7 Besiktas 35 14 12 9 +6 54
8 Ad. Demirspor 35 14 10 11 +8 52
9 Antalyaspor 35 14 10 11 +4 52
10 Kasimpasa 36 14 8 14 +10 50
11 Hatayspor 36 14 8 14 -5 50
12 Sivasspor 36 12 12 12 +0 48
13 Galatasaray 35 13 8 14 -3 47
14 Kayserispor 36 11 11 14 -9 44
15 Giresunspor 35 12 7 16 -3 43
16 Gaziantep 36 11 10 15 -7 43
17 Altay 35 9 6 20 -15 33
18 Rizespor 35 9 6 20 -26 33
19 Goztep 36 7 7 22 -28 28
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 35 5 5 25 -34 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Alanyaspor
Alper Uludağ 🟨
-5′
19′
T. Sanuç 1–0
own goal
22′
🟨 Famara Diédhiou
2–0 Y. Belhanda
Birkir Bjarnason
32′
Half-time 2–0
50′
🟨 Chidozie Awaziem
58′
🔁 Wilson Eduardo
↦ F. Diédhiou
58′
🔁 T. Bingöl
↦ E. Karaca
Ismail Cokcalis 🟨
60′
Mario Balotelli 🟨
61′
65′
🟨 Umut Güneş
68′
🔁 E. Bekiroglu
↦ U. Güneş
69′
🔁 E. Akbaba
↦ C. Awaziem
76′
E. Akbaba 2–1
E. Bekiroglu
M. Vargas 🔁
↦ Birkir Bjarnason
79′
A. Uludağ 🔁
↦ J. Rassoul
79′
82′
🟨 Tayfur Bingöl
82′
ℹ️ Tayfur Bingöl
VAR: Goal cancelled
84′
🔁 João Novais
↦ Candeias
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ G. İnler
87′
S. Güler 🔁
↦ İ. Çokçalış
87′
Semih Güler 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
5 S. Akaydin D
95 J. Rassoul D
2 T. Sanuç D
66 İ. Çokçalış D
67 Birkir Bjarnason M
88 G. İnler M
10 Y. Belhanda M
8 S. Kurt M
9 M. Balotelli F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (9)
77 M. Vargas
25 A. Uludağ
7 B. Assombalonga
4 S. Güler
91 S. Deli
80 D. Đoković
18 M. Kapı
50 E. Öztümer
39 V. Karakuş

Coach: V. Montella

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
30 Y. Karagöz G
19 N. Milunović D
24 Juanfran M
31 C. Borja D
15 C. Awaziem D
20 F. Aksoy D
4 L. Fer M
21 Candeias M
7 E. Karaca M
6 U. Güneş M
14 F. Diédhiou F
Bench (10)
17 Wilson Eduardo
75 T. Bingöl
11 E. Bekiroglu
23 E. Akbaba
18 João Novais
25 M. Mevlja
35 F. Bayır
28 Marafona
70 O. Aydın
3 A. Gülay

Coach: Felipe Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
U
3,72
B ✓
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ü Öztürk · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.