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Eredivisie
Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom
Willem II
S S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Heracles
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
55%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 4. · Heracles 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 2 3 +42 47
2 AZ Alkmaar 21 15 2 4 +31 47
3 Feyenoord 21 11 7 3 +11 40
4 Willem II 20 11 4 5 +7 37
5 PSV Eindhoven 20 10 6 4 +19 36
6 Vitesse 21 10 5 6 +10 35
7 Utrecht 20 10 3 7 +12 33
8 Groningen 21 8 5 8 +3 29
9 Heerenveen 20 7 7 6 +4 28
10 Heracles 20 7 5 8 +3 26
11 Sparta Rotterdam 21 6 6 9 -6 24
12 Twente 21 6 6 9 -9 24
13 FC Emmen 21 6 4 11 -16 22
14 Zwolle 21 6 3 12 -16 21
15 For Sittard 20 5 5 10 -21 20
16 VVV Venlo 20 6 1 13 -26 19
17 Den Haag 21 4 5 12 -20 17
18 Waalwijk 21 3 2 16 -28 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -19 Heracles – Willem II 4–1 2. Apr -19 Heracles – Willem II 3–4 26. Aug -18 Willem II – Heracles 5–0 10. Feb -18 Heracles – Willem II 1–0 2. Dec -17 Willem II – Heracles 3–1

Match report

Willem II Heracles
1–0 S. Holmén ⚽
26′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 D. dos Santos
↦ S. van der Water
60′
🟨 Alexander Merkel
67′
🟨 Orestis Kiomourtzoglou
73′
🔁 M. Rossmann
↦ R. Pröpper
79′
🔁 T. Bijleveld
↦ Mauro Júnior
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
88′
M. Vrousai 🔁
↦ M. Ndayishimiye
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
12 M. Woud G
4 J. Peters D
3 F. Heerkens D
25 S. Holmén D
15 D. Dankerlui D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
21 M. Ndayishimiye M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
9 P. Gladon
16 M. Vrousai
33 R. Zuijderwijk
24 J. McGarry
23 G. Sağlam
32 D. Ryan
14 E. Kabangu
13 G. Strezos
22 João Queirós
36 C. van den Berg

Coach: A. Koster

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
13 M. Knoester D
52 A. Merkel M
10 Mauro Júnior M
22 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
9 C. Dessers F
11 S. van der Water M
7 J. Cijntje M
Bench (10)
24 D. dos Santos
23 M. Rossmann
8 T. Bijleveld
15 L. Schoofs
14 Mohammed Osman
26 K. Bucker
16 M. Brouwer
21 S. Jakubiak
6 D. Van den Buijs
17 A. Szöke

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
🔒
U
3,76
🔒
B
3,65
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,64
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,24
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bernie Raymond Blom · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.