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Ligue 2

Toulouse

S S U S T

2–1

Full-time

Nimes

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 50%

61%

39%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

25 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 4

15 Corners 2

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 1. · Nimes 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	36	22	10	4	+49	76
2	Ajaccio	36	21	8	7	+19	71
3	Auxerre	36	19	11	6	+20	68
4	Sochaux	36	19	10	7	+14	67
5	Paris FC	36	18	10	8	+16	64
6	Guingamp	36	13	13	10	+1	52
7	Le Havre	36	13	11	12	-1	50
8	Nimes	36	14	7	15	-4	49
9	Caen	36	12	11	13	+9	47
10	Dijon	36	13	7	16	-4	46
11	Niort	36	12	9	15	-2	45
12	Pau FC	36	13	6	17	-9	45
13	Amiens	36	9	17	10	+4	44
14	Bastia	36	9	16	11	+1	43
15	Grenoble	36	12	7	17	-10	43
16	Valenciennes	36	8	14	14	-15	38
17	Rodez	36	8	13	15	-13	37
18	Quevilly Rouen	36	9	10	17	-17	37
19	Dunkerque	36	8	7	21	-21	31
20	Nancy	36	5	9	22	-37	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	18	13	4	1	+37	43
2	Ajaccio	18	12	3	3	+12	39
3	Paris FC	18	10	7	1	+15	37
4	Sochaux	18	10	5	3	+8	35
5	Auxerre	18	10	4	4	+13	34
6	Pau FC	18	10	1	7	+5	31
7	Guingamp	18	8	6	4	+6	30
8	Amiens	18	7	6	5	+11	27
9	Caen	18	8	3	7	+10	27
10	Bastia	18	5	12	1	+8	27
11	Dijon	18	8	3	7	+0	27
12	Niort	18	7	5	6	+5	26
13	Grenoble	18	7	4	7	+0	25
14	Le Havre	18	6	5	7	-2	23
15	Nimes	18	6	4	8	-4	22
16	Rodez	18	4	9	5	-2	21
17	Dunkerque	18	5	6	7	-5	21
18	Quevilly Rouen	18	4	7	7	-6	19
19	Valenciennes	18	4	5	9	-10	17
20	Nancy	18	4	4	10	-16	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	18	9	7	2	+7	34
2	Toulouse	18	9	6	3	+12	33
3	Ajaccio	18	9	5	4	+7	32
4	Sochaux	18	9	5	4	+6	32
5	Paris FC	18	8	3	7	+1	27
6	Le Havre	18	7	6	5	+1	27
7	Nimes	18	8	3	7	+0	27
8	Guingamp	18	5	7	6	-5	22
9	Valenciennes	18	4	9	5	-5	21
10	Caen	18	4	8	6	-1	20
11	Dijon	18	5	4	9	-4	19
12	Niort	18	5	4	9	-7	19
13	Grenoble	18	5	3	10	-10	18
14	Quevilly Rouen	18	5	3	10	-11	18
15	Amiens	18	2	11	5	-7	17
16	Bastia	18	4	4	10	-7	16
17	Rodez	18	4	4	10	-11	16
18	Pau FC	18	3	5	10	-14	14
19	Dunkerque	18	3	1	14	-16	10
20	Nancy	18	1	5	12	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.