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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Heracles
S T U T S
1–4
Full-time
Feyenoord
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 47%
29%
64%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
39%
64%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

36% Possession 64%
19 Shots 23
8 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 13. · Feyenoord 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 29 23 3 3 +70 72
2 PSV Eindhoven 29 22 2 5 +39 68
3 Feyenoord 28 18 4 6 +36 58
4 Twente 29 17 7 5 +13 58
5 AZ Alkmaar 25 15 3 7 +18 48
6 Utrecht 27 11 8 8 +9 41
7 Vitesse 24 12 3 9 -7 39
8 Groningen 29 9 9 11 -6 36
9 Go Ahead Eagles 29 10 6 13 -8 36
10 Nijmegen 29 9 8 12 -11 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 34
12 Cambuur 29 10 3 16 -17 33
13 Heracles 28 8 6 14 -8 30
14 Waalwijk 29 6 10 13 -15 28
15 Willem II 29 6 5 18 -29 23
16 For Sittard 28 6 5 17 -34 23
17 Sparta Rotterdam 27 4 10 13 -19 22
18 Zwolle 28 5 5 18 -23 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Feyenoord
1–0 S. Bakış
L. Schoofs
1′
21′
O. Kökçü 1–1
R. Nelson
Anas Ouahim 🟨
25′
39′
R. Nelson 1–2
45′
G. Til 1–3
R. Nelson
Half-time 1–3
46′
🔁 J. Toornstra
↦ G. Til
59′
🔁 A. Jahanbakhsh
↦ R. Nelson
B. Başacıkoğlu 🔁
↦ E. Hansson
64′
69′
🔁 P. Wålemark
↦ L. Sinisterra
69′
🔁 B. Linssen
↦ C. Dessers
70′
P. Wålemark 1–4
J. Toornstra
E. Sierra 🔁
↦ N. Laursen
75′
76′
🔁 J. Hendrix
↦ O. Kökçü
A. Szőke 🔁
↦ A. Ouahim
88′
N. Bakboord 🔁
↦ N. Fadiga
88′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Heracles

4-4-2
26 K. Bucker G
21 J. Hoogma D
4 S. Sonnenberg D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
15 L. Schoofs M
30 A. Ouahim F
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
29 E. Hansson M
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (12)
7 B. Başacıkoğlu
8 E. Sierra
17 A. Szőke
19 N. Bakboord
25 R. Polley
12 R. Roosken
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
36 T. Jansink
32 S. Scheperman
22 M. Leš
28 R. Jalving
5 M. Rente

Coach: F. Wormuth

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
21 O. Marciano G
18 G. Trauner D
5 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
2 M. Pedersen D
17 F. Aursnes M
26 G. Til M
10 O. Kökçü M
33 C. Dessers F
14 R. Nelson M
7 L. Sinisterra M
Bench (11)
28 J. Toornstra
9 A. Jahanbakhsh
23 P. Wålemark
11 B. Linssen
6 J. Hendrix
25 R. Hendriks
57 S. Valk
30 T. Jansen
19 C. Bassett
16 V. Cojocaru
43 M. Benita

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,43
U
4,31
B ✓
1,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.