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Championship
Referee: L Doughty
West Brom
T S T U S
4–0
Full-time
Barnsley
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
This season — Championship · 47/47 matches
Win Ø 27%
40%
13%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
38%
34%
Both score Ø 40%
32%
47%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
5 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 9. · Barnsley 25.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 47 29 9 9 +69 96
2 Bournemouth 47 24 15 8 +34 87
3 Nott'm Forest 44 24 8 12 +34 80
4 Huddersfield 44 22 13 9 +18 79
5 Sheffield United 45 22 10 13 +20 76
6 Middlesbrough 47 22 10 15 +18 76
7 Luton 45 21 12 12 +12 75
8 Millwall 47 19 15 13 +11 72
9 West Brom 47 19 13 15 +7 70
10 Blackburn 47 19 12 16 +11 69
11 Coventry 47 19 12 16 +7 69
12 Swansea 47 18 13 16 -5 67
13 Preston 47 17 16 14 -5 67
14 Stoke 47 18 11 18 +7 65
15 Blackpool 47 17 12 18 -2 63
16 QPR 47 18 9 20 -3 63
17 Bristol City 47 16 11 20 -12 59
18 Derby 47 15 13 19 -7 58
19 Cardiff 47 15 9 23 -15 54
20 Hull 47 15 8 24 -11 53
21 Reading 47 14 9 24 -30 51
22 Birmingham 47 11 15 21 -27 48
23 Peterboro 46 9 10 27 -44 37
24 Peterborough 45 8 10 27 -49 34
25 Barnsley 47 6 13 28 -38 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Barnsley
1–0 K. Ahearne-Grant
37′
2–0 A. Reach
D. Button
40′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Clarke
K. Ahearne-Grant
52′
55′
🔁 J. Benson
↦ W. Hondermarck
4–0 K. Ahearne-Grant
S. Ajayi
60′
61′
🔁 D. Bremang
↦ C. Oduor
C. Taylor 🔁
↦ S. Ajayi
62′
Z. Ashworth 🔁
↦ M. Clarke
67′
C. Robinson 🔁
↦ J. Livermore
71′
72′
🔁 V. Adeboyejo
↦ C. Woodrow
88′
🟨 Matthew Wolfe
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

West Brom

4-4-2
25 D. Button G
20 A. Reach M
6 S. Ajayi D
2 D. Furlong D
4 D. O'Shea D
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
16 M. Clarke D
11 G. Diangana F
14 J. Molumby M
18 K. Ahearne-Grant F
Bench (7)
33 C. Taylor
35 Z. Ashworth
7 C. Robinson
36 A. Palmer
29 T. Gardner-Hickman
21 C. Kipre
32 Quevin Castro

Coach: S. Bruce

Barnsley

3-5-2
1 J. Walton G
5 L. Kitching D
38 J. Helliwell M
22 C. Oduor M
15 J. Moon D
33 M. Wolfe M
23 W. Hondermarck M
32 J. Sraha D
9 C. Woodrow F
4 C. Styles M
37 A. Marsh F
Bench (7)
10 J. Benson
34 D. Bremang
29 V. Adeboyejo
39 A. Ariely
51 K. Flavell
44 D. Cole
18 I. Christie-Davies

Coach: M. Devaney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
4,96
B
7,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,36
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.