Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dijon
Nancy
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | +49 | 76 |
| 2 |
Ajaccio
|
36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 3 |
Auxerre
|
36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | +20 | 68 |
| 4 |
Sochaux
|
36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | +14 | 67 |
| 5 |
Paris FC
|
36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | +16 | 64 |
| 6 |
Guingamp
|
36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | +1 | 52 |
| 7 |
Le Havre
|
36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 |
Nimes
|
36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | -4 | 49 |
| 9 |
Caen
|
36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | +9 | 47 |
| 10 |
Dijon
|
36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 46 |
| 11 |
Niort
|
36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | -2 | 45 |
| 12 |
Pau FC
|
36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 |
Amiens
|
36 | 9 | 17 | 10 | +4 | 44 |
| 14 |
Bastia
|
36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | +1 | 43 |
| 15 |
Grenoble
|
36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 43 |
| 16 |
Valenciennes
|
36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | -15 | 38 |
| 17 |
Rodez
|
36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | -13 | 37 |
| 18 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | -17 | 37 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | -21 | 31 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | -37 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Niort
Dijon
Dijon
Guingamp
Auxerre
Dijon
Dijon
Ajaccio
Paris FC
Dijon
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.