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Serie A
Referee: D Massa
Lazio
S S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 38%
49%
26%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
77%
60%
Both score Ø 59%
63%
54%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 5. · Sampdoria 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 36 23 9 4 +47 78
2 Milan 35 23 8 4 +31 77
3 Napoli 36 22 7 7 +37 73
4 Juventus 36 20 9 7 +22 69
5 Lazio 35 17 8 10 +17 59
6 Roma 35 17 8 10 +15 59
7 Atalanta 35 15 11 9 +18 56
8 Fiorentina 35 17 5 13 +7 56
9 Verona 35 14 10 11 +9 52
10 Torino 36 12 11 13 +7 47
11 Sassuolo 36 12 11 13 -1 47
12 Udinese 36 10 14 12 +0 44
13 Bologna 35 11 10 14 -9 43
14 Empoli 36 9 10 17 -21 37
15 Sampdoria 35 9 6 20 -15 33
16 Spezia 35 9 6 20 -26 33
17 Salernitana 35 7 8 20 -41 29
18 Genoa 36 4 16 16 -29 28
19 Cagliari 35 6 10 19 -32 28
20 Venezia 35 5 7 23 -36 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Sampdoria
1–0 Patric
Luis Alberto
41′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Luis Alberto
M. Lazzari
59′
Lucas Leiva 🔁
↦ D. Cataldi
66′
69′
🔁 F. Quagliarella
↦ F. Caputo
69′
🔁 M. Damsgaard
↦ A. Sabiri
T. Bašić 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
77′
77′
🔁 K. Askildsen
↦ M. Thorsby
E. Hysaj 🔁
↦ M. Lazzari
78′
79′
🟨 Ronaldo Vieira
Elseid Hysaj 🟨
81′
L. Romero 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
83′
86′
🔁 S. Trimboli
↦ R. Vieira Nan
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
1 T. Strakosha G
33 F. Acerbi D
4 Patric D
77 A. Marušić D
10 Luis Alberto M
29 M. Lazzari D
20 M. Zaccagni F
32 D. Cataldi M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
7 Felipe Anderson F
Bench (11)
6 Lucas Leiva
88 T. Bašić
23 E. Hysaj
18 L. Romero
26 Ş. Radu
3 Luiz Felipe
31 M. Adamonis
25 Pepe Reina
11 Jovane Cabral
8 J. Akpa Akpro
16 D. Kamenović

Coach: M. Sarri

Sampdoria

4-1-4-1
1 E. Audero G
24 B. Bereszyński D
15 O. Colley D
3 T. Augello D
25 A. Ferrari D
87 A. Candreva M
88 T. Rincón M
2 M. Thorsby M
14 R. Vieira Nan M
11 A. Sabiri M
10 F. Caputo F
Bench (12)
27 F. Quagliarella
38 M. Damsgaard
16 K. Askildsen
70 S. Trimboli
30 N. Ravaglia
6 A. Ekdal
26 G. Magnani
33 W. Falcone
22 M. Yoshida
7 V. Supryaha
13 A. Conti
29 N. Murru

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
4,70
B
6,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.