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Eliteserien
Referee: M Aslam
Sarpsborg 08
T T S U S
1–0
Full-time
Odd
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
24 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 4. · Odd 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Viking 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Bodo/Glimt 4 2 1 1 +3 7
4 Sarpsborg 08 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Molde 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Aalesund 5 2 1 2 -1 7
7 Sandefjord 4 2 0 2 +3 6
8 Odd 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Rosenborg 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Valerenga 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 Jerv 4 2 0 2 -3 6
12 Ham-Kam 4 1 2 1 +2 5
13 Tromso 4 1 1 2 -4 4
14 Stromsgodset 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Kristiansund 4 0 1 3 -3 1
16 Haugesund 5 0 0 5 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Odd
45′
🟨 Espen Ruud
Half-time 0–0
Guillermo Molins 🟨
49′
60′
🔁 S. Aas
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
63′
🟨 Steffen Hagen
1–0 K. Opseth
A. Salétros
63′
71′
🔁 F. Kastrati
↦ M. Jevtović
M. Ødegaard 🔁
↦ J. Horn
78′
S. Skålevik 🔁
↦ K. Opseth
78′
M. Høyland 🔁
↦ G. Molins
79′
J. Thomassen 🔁
↦ J. Soltvedt
82′
O. Halvorsen 🔁
↦ E. Wichne
83′
83′
🔁 I. Mesík
↦ F. Jørgensen
83′
🔁 John Kitolano
↦ C. Wallem
83′
🔁 A. Stensrud
↦ J. Baccay
94′
🟨 Steffen Hagen
94′
🟥 Steffen Hagen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kristiansen G
3 J. Horn D
4 B. Utvik D
32 E. Wichne D
18 S. Martinsson-Ngouali M
17 J. Soltvedt D
20 A. Salétros M
25 M. Maigaard M
11 J. Lindseth M
8 G. Molins M
22 K. Opseth F
Bench (8)
5 M. Ødegaard
15 S. Skålevik
6 M. Høyland
16 J. Thomassen
7 O. Halvorsen
14 A. Camara
1 S. Nilsen
10 R. Muhammed

Coach: S. Billborn

Odd

4-2-3-1
12 L. Wahlstedt G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
3 J. Baccay D
4 O. Bjørtuft D
8 M. Jevtović M
17 S. Owusu M
14 C. Wallem M
7 F. Jørgensen M
15 M. Ingebrigtsen M
20 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (9)
18 S. Aas
9 F. Kastrati
5 I. Mesík
25 John Kitolano
22 A. Stensrud
16 Joshua Kitolano
1 S. Rossbach
24 D. Gjengaar
26 J. Skau

Coach: P. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.