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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Bochum
U U S U T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
33%
13%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
38%
71%
Both score Ø 55%
42%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,4
2,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 11. · Greuther Furth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 19 1 4 +49 58
2 Dortmund 24 16 2 6 +27 50
3 Leverkusen 24 13 5 6 +24 44
4 RB Leipzig 24 12 4 8 +22 40
5 Freiburg 24 11 7 6 +13 40
6 Hoffenheim 24 12 4 8 +11 40
7 Union Berlin 24 10 7 7 +0 37
8 FC Koln 24 9 9 6 -2 36
9 Mainz 24 10 4 10 +6 34
10 Ein Frankfurt 24 8 7 9 -3 31
11 Bochum 24 8 5 11 -9 29
12 Wolfsburg 24 8 4 12 -11 28
13 M'gladbach 24 7 6 11 -16 27
14 Augsburg 25 6 8 11 -14 26
15 Bielefeld 25 5 10 10 -11 25
16 Hertha 24 6 5 13 -29 23
17 Stuttgart 24 4 7 13 -17 19
18 Greuther Furth 24 3 5 16 -40 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Greuther Furth
34′
🟨 Sebastian Griesbeck
1–0 M. Leitsch
35′
39′
🟨 Gian-Luca Itter
Cristian Gamboa 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Willems
↦ G. Itter
46′
🔁 H. Nielsen
↦ J. Dudziak
53′
🟨 Branimir Hrgota
64′
A. Bella-Kotchap 2–0
own goal
T. Asano 🔁
↦ G. Holtmann
65′
M. Pantović 🔁
↦ E. Löwen
65′
67′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ J. Leweling
3–0 A. Losilla
71′
73′
🟨 Jetro Willems
D. Blum 🔁
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
74′
K. Stafylidis 🔁
↦ C. Gamboa
74′
Miloš Pantović 🟨
82′
82′
🔁 J. Green
↦ T. Tillman
82′
🔁 Afimico Pululu
↦ M. Christiansen
E. Mašović 🔁
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
3 Danilo Soares D
29 M. Leitsch D
37 A. Bella-Kotchap D
8 A. Losilla M
38 E. Löwen M
20 E. Rexhbeçaj M
40 S. Polter F
17 G. Holtmann F
22 C. Antwi-Adjei F
Bench (9)
10 T. Asano
27 M. Pantović
7 D. Blum
16 K. Stafylidis
4 E. Mašović
21 M. Esser
24 V. Lampropoulos
6 P. Osterhage
11 H. Bockhorn

Coach: T. Reis

Greuther Furth

4-3-1-2
26 A. Linde G
24 N. Viergever D
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
27 G. Itter D
22 S. Griesbeck D
28 J. Dudziak M
13 M. Christiansen M
33 P. Seguin M
21 T. Tillman M
40 J. Leweling F
10 B. Hrgota F
Bench (9)
15 J. Willems
16 H. Nielsen
11 D. Abiama
37 J. Green
9 Afimico Pululu
2 S. Asta
30 S. Burchert
4 M. Bauer
20 T. Raschl

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,72
B
4,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.