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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Groningen

T S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Willem II

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 26%

26%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

39%

57%

Both score Ø 55%

61%

48%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 10. · Willem II 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	23	18	3	2	+65	57
2	PSV Eindhoven	23	17	1	5	+28	52
3	Feyenoord	23	16	3	4	+35	51
4	Twente	24	13	6	5	+8	45
5	AZ Alkmaar	21	13	2	6	+16	41
6	Utrecht	21	10	5	6	+11	35
7	Vitesse	20	10	2	8	-10	32
8	Nijmegen	23	8	7	8	-4	31
9	Cambuur	23	9	3	11	-11	30
10	Groningen	23	6	8	9	-6	26
11	Heracles	24	7	5	12	-6	26
12	Heerenveen	22	7	4	11	-11	25
13	Waalwijk	24	5	8	11	-13	23
14	Go Ahead Eagles	23	6	5	12	-16	23
15	Willem II	23	6	3	14	-21	21
16	For Sittard	22	5	4	13	-26	19
17	Sparta Rotterdam	22	3	8	11	-18	17
18	Zwolle	24	4	5	15	-21	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	1	2	+43	28
2	Feyenoord	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	0	3	+15	27
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	2	1	+15	26
5	Utrecht	11	7	3	1	+14	24
6	Heracles	13	7	3	3	+6	24
7	Twente	11	6	4	1	+9	22
8	Cambuur	11	4	1	6	-4	13
9	Willem II	12	4	1	7	-8	13
10	Waalwijk	12	4	1	7	-10	13
11	Groningen	11	2	6	3	+0	12
12	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	0	7	-5	12
13	Heerenveen	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	5	5	-7	11
15	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-10	11
16	Nijmegen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
17	Zwolle	12	2	4	6	-5	10
18	Vitesse	9	3	1	5	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	Feyenoord	11	7	2	2	+15	23
4	Twente	13	7	2	4	-1	23
5	Vitesse	11	7	1	3	+1	22
6	Nijmegen	12	6	3	3	+0	21
7	Cambuur	12	5	2	5	-7	17
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Heerenveen	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Groningen	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Utrecht	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Go Ahead Eagles	12	2	5	5	-11	11
13	Waalwijk	12	1	7	4	-3	10
14	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-13	8
15	For Sittard	12	2	2	8	-16	8
16	Zwolle	12	2	1	9	-16	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Heracles	11	0	2	9	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.