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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Young Boys
U S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Luzern
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Super League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
13%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
63%
46%
Both score Ø 69%
67%
71%
Average goals
3,5
2,9
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%
27 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 2. · Luzern 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 24 17 5 2 +27 56
2 Young Boys 24 12 7 5 +25 43
3 Basel 24 10 11 3 +21 41
4 Lugano 24 12 3 9 -1 39
5 Servette 24 9 5 10 -6 32
6 St. Gallen 24 8 6 10 -5 30
7 Sion 24 8 5 11 -11 29
8 Grasshoppers 24 6 9 9 +1 27
9 Luzern 24 3 9 12 -20 18
10 Lausanne 24 2 6 16 -31 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys Luzern
1–0 J. Siebatcheu
E. Fernandes
8′
2–0 F. Mambimbi
10′
41′
M. Burch 2–1
S. Campo
Half-time 2–1
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ V. Sierro
46′
Meschack Elia 🟨
52′
57′
🔁 M. Schulz
↦ F. Ugrinic
57′
🔁 Asumah Abubakar
↦ N. Čumić
W. Kanga 🔁
↦ M. Elia
61′
U. Garcia 🔁
↦ J. Lefort
61′
C. Fassnacht 🔁
↦ E. Fernandes
61′
72′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ S. Campo
Fabian Rieder 🟨
77′
81′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ M. Kvasina
85′
M. Dräger 2–2
A. Jashari
M. Ngamaleu 🔁
↦ L. Blum
90′
Ulisses Garcia 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
28 F. Lustenberger D
25 J. Lefort D
5 C. Zesiger D
27 L. Blum D
11 E. Fernandes M
8 V. Sierro M
30 S. Lauper M
17 J. Siebatcheu F
15 M. Elia F
19 F. Mambimbi M
Bench (9)
32 F. Rieder
9 W. Kanga
21 U. Garcia
16 C. Fassnacht
13 M. Ngamaleu
7 K. Varga
1 A. Racioppi
20 C. Niasse
23 A. Amenda

Coach: D. Wagner

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
5 D. Simani D
2 M. Dräger D
34 S. Sidler D
46 M. Burch D
4 C. Gentner M
10 S. Campo M
19 F. Ugrinic M
30 A. Jashari M
27 M. Kvasina F
20 N. Čumić F
Bench (9)
15 M. Schulz
21 Asumah Abubakar
16 V. Tasar
7 I. Ndiaye
17 S. Grether
31 L. Emini
71 L. Jaquez
6 J. Wehrmann
90 V. Vasić

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.