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Ligue 2

Bastia

U U S U T

1–1

Full-time

Valenciennes

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 25%

23%

27%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

35%

46%

Both score Ø 52%

46%

58%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

14 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

8 Corners 0

20 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 16. · Valenciennes 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	26	15	9	2	+37	54
2	Paris FC	27	15	7	5	+17	52
3	Ajaccio	26	14	6	6	+10	48
4	Auxerre	26	12	9	5	+11	45
5	Sochaux	26	12	8	6	+5	44
6	Le Havre	26	9	11	6	+1	38
7	Nimes	27	10	6	11	-3	36
8	Niort	26	10	5	11	+1	35
9	Pau FC	26	10	5	11	-2	35
10	Guingamp	26	8	10	8	-5	34
11	Amiens	26	7	12	7	+10	33
12	Caen	26	8	8	10	+4	32
13	Dijon	26	9	3	14	-6	30
14	Rodez	26	7	9	10	-6	30
15	Valenciennes	26	7	9	10	-9	30
16	Bastia	26	6	11	9	+0	29
17	Quevilly Rouen	26	7	8	11	-12	29
18	Dunkerque	26	7	6	13	-11	27
19	Grenoble	26	7	4	15	-16	25
20	Nancy	26	4	8	14	-26	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	13	8	4	1	+24	28
2	Paris FC	13	8	4	1	+12	28
3	Ajaccio	13	8	3	2	+9	27
4	Pau FC	13	8	1	4	+8	25
5	Amiens	14	6	4	4	+12	22
6	Auxerre	13	6	4	3	+10	22
7	Sochaux	13	6	4	3	+3	22
8	Niort	12	6	2	4	+6	20
9	Guingamp	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Le Havre	14	5	5	4	+1	20
11	Bastia	13	3	10	0	+7	19
12	Caen	14	6	1	7	+6	19
13	Nimes	14	5	4	5	+0	19
14	Grenoble	13	6	1	6	-1	19
15	Dijon	13	5	2	6	-1	17
16	Dunkerque	14	4	5	5	-2	17
17	Rodez	12	3	6	3	+0	15
18	Quevilly Rouen	12	3	6	3	-2	15
19	Valenciennes	13	4	2	7	-7	14
20	Nancy	12	3	4	5	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	13	7	5	1	+13	26
2	Paris FC	14	7	3	4	+5	24
3	Auxerre	13	6	5	2	+1	23
4	Sochaux	13	6	4	3	+2	22
5	Ajaccio	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Le Havre	12	4	6	2	+0	18
7	Nimes	13	5	2	6	-3	17
8	Valenciennes	13	3	7	3	-2	16
9	Niort	14	4	3	7	-5	15
10	Rodez	14	4	3	7	-6	15
11	Guingamp	13	3	5	5	-7	14
12	Quevilly Rouen	14	4	2	8	-10	14
13	Caen	12	2	7	3	-2	13
14	Dijon	13	4	1	8	-5	13
15	Amiens	12	1	8	3	-2	11
16	Bastia	13	3	1	9	-7	10
17	Dunkerque	12	3	1	8	-9	10
18	Pau FC	13	2	4	7	-10	10
19	Nancy	14	1	4	9	-17	7
20	Grenoble	13	1	3	9	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.