La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Espanol
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Sevilla
|
27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | +21 | 55 |
| 3 |
Betis
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | +16 | 46 |
| 4 |
Barcelona
|
25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +18 | 45 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 45 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 44 |
| 7 |
Villarreal
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +21 | 42 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | +4 | 37 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | +1 | 32 |
| 12 |
Vallecano
|
25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -2 | 31 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 |
Elche
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -4 | 27 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 26 |
| 17 |
Granada
|
26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 25 |
| 18 |
Alaves
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -23 | 22 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
26 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -18 | 21 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -23 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Cabrera
D
Adrià Pedrosa
D
Óscar Gil
D
T. Vilhena
M
Darder
M
K. Bare
M
Y. Herrera
M
Coach: Vicente Moreno
David Soria
G
D. Dakonam
D
M. Olivera
M
Juan Iglesias
M
Florentino Luís
M
E. Ünal
F
Borja Mayoral
F
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Villarreal
Espanol
Espanol
Sevilla
Espanol
Barcelona
Ath Bilbao
Espanol
Espanol
Betis
Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.