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Eredivisie

Referee: R Martens

Heerenveen

S T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 34%

35%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

40%

48%

Both score Ø 51%

50%

52%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 11. · Nijmegen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	21	16	3	2	+59	51
2	PSV Eindhoven	22	16	1	5	+26	49
3	Feyenoord	21	14	3	4	+31	45
4	Twente	21	12	5	4	+12	41
5	AZ Alkmaar	20	12	2	6	+15	38
6	Utrecht	21	10	5	6	+11	35
7	Vitesse	20	10	2	8	-10	32
8	Cambuur	22	9	3	10	-9	30
9	Nijmegen	21	7	6	8	-5	27
10	Groningen	22	6	7	9	-6	25
11	Heerenveen	20	7	4	9	-8	25
12	Heracles	22	6	5	11	-7	23
13	Waalwijk	21	5	7	9	-10	22
14	Go Ahead Eagles	22	6	4	12	-16	22
15	Willem II	22	6	3	13	-20	21
16	For Sittard	22	5	4	13	-26	19
17	Sparta Rotterdam	22	3	8	11	-18	17
18	Zwolle	22	4	4	14	-19	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	1	2	+38	25
2	Feyenoord	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Utrecht	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	2	1	+14	23
6	Twente	10	6	3	1	+9	21
7	Heracles	12	6	3	3	+4	21
8	Cambuur	11	4	1	6	-4	13
9	Willem II	11	4	1	6	-7	13
10	Waalwijk	10	4	1	5	-7	13
11	Groningen	11	2	6	3	+0	12
12	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	0	7	-5	12
13	Heerenveen	10	3	2	5	-5	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	5	5	-7	11
15	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-10	11
16	Vitesse	9	3	1	5	-11	10
17	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-4	9
18	Zwolle	11	2	3	6	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	2	0	+21	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	Vitesse	11	7	1	3	+1	22
4	Feyenoord	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Twente	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Nijmegen	11	5	3	3	-1	18
7	Cambuur	11	5	2	4	-5	17
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	-3	14
10	Groningen	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Utrecht	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Go Ahead Eagles	11	2	4	5	-11	10
13	Waalwijk	11	1	6	4	-3	9
14	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-13	8
15	For Sittard	12	2	2	8	-16	8
16	Zwolle	11	2	1	8	-14	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Heracles	10	0	2	8	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.