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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Real Madrid

U S U S S

4–1

Full-time

Sociedad

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 58%

69%

46%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

58%

23%

Both score Ø 41%

54%

27%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 1

8 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Sociedad 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	26	18	6	2	+32	60
2	Sevilla	27	15	10	2	+21	55
3	Betis	26	14	4	8	+16	46
4	Barcelona	25	12	9	4	+18	45
5	Ath Madrid	26	13	6	7	+13	45
6	Sociedad	26	12	8	6	+2	44
7	Villarreal	27	11	9	7	+21	42
8	Ath Bilbao	26	9	10	7	+4	37
9	Valencia	27	9	9	9	-2	36
10	Osasuna	27	9	8	10	-5	35
11	Celta	26	8	8	10	+1	32
12	Espanol	27	8	8	11	-7	32
13	Vallecano	25	9	4	12	-2	31
14	Elche	26	7	8	11	-9	29
15	Getafe	27	6	9	12	-6	27
16	Mallorca	26	6	8	12	-18	26
17	Granada	27	5	10	12	-15	25
18	Alaves	27	5	7	15	-23	22
19	Cadiz	26	3	12	11	-18	21
20	Levante	26	3	9	14	-23	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	13	10	3	0	+17	33
2	Real Madrid	13	9	4	0	+20	31
3	Villarreal	14	8	4	2	+20	28
4	Ath Madrid	13	8	3	2	+11	27
5	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+14	26
6	Vallecano	13	8	2	3	+11	26
7	Espanol	14	7	4	3	+5	25
8	Sociedad	13	7	4	2	+4	25
9	Betis	13	7	2	4	+10	23
10	Getafe	13	6	3	4	+6	21
11	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
12	Ath Bilbao	12	6	2	4	+6	20
13	Elche	12	5	5	2	+3	20
14	Mallorca	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Granada	13	4	4	5	-4	16
16	Alaves	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Celta	13	4	3	6	+0	15
18	Osasuna	14	3	6	5	-8	15
19	Levante	13	2	6	5	-5	12
20	Cadiz	13	0	8	5	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Betis	13	7	2	4	+6	23
3	Sevilla	14	5	7	2	+4	22
4	Osasuna	13	6	2	5	+3	20
5	Barcelona	13	4	7	2	+4	19
6	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	-2	19
7	Ath Madrid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
8	Celta	13	4	5	4	+1	17
9	Ath Bilbao	14	3	8	3	-2	17
10	Valencia	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	+1	14
12	Cadiz	13	3	4	6	-9	13
13	Granada	14	1	6	7	-11	9
14	Elche	14	2	3	9	-12	9
15	Mallorca	12	2	2	8	-17	8
16	Espanol	13	1	4	8	-12	7
17	Getafe	14	0	6	8	-12	6
18	Levante	13	1	3	9	-18	6
19	Alaves	13	1	3	9	-18	6
20	Vallecano	12	1	2	9	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.