Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Burnley
Chelsea
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | +47 | 66 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +50 | 60 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | +31 | 50 |
| 4 |
Man United
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 |
West Ham
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +12 | 45 |
| 6 |
Arsenal
|
24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | +11 | 45 |
| 7 |
Tottenham
|
25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | +3 | 42 |
| 8 |
Wolves
|
26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | +3 | 40 |
| 9 |
Southampton
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 |
Leicester
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 |
Brighton
|
26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |
Crystal Palace
|
27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 |
Aston Villa
|
25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | -4 | 30 |
| 14 |
Newcastle
|
25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 |
Brentford
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -17 | 24 |
| 16 |
Leeds
|
27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -32 | 23 |
| 17 |
Everton
|
24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 |
Burnley
|
25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 |
Watford
|
26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -22 | 19 |
| 20 |
Norwich
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -40 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Pope
G
J. Tarkowski
D
C. Taylor
D
C. Roberts
D
N. Collins
D
W. Weghorst
F
D. McNeil
M
Coach: S. Dyche
A. Rüdiger
D
T. Chalobah
D
R. James
M
N. Kanté
M
M. Mount
F
C. Pulisic
F
K. Havertz
F
Coach: T. Tuchel
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Burnley
Leicester
Crystal Palace
Burnley
Burnley
Tottenham
Brighton
Burnley
Burnley
Liverpool
A Marriner · 74 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.