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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Heerenveen

S U S T T

0–1

Full-time

Zwolle

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 25%

39%

11%

Points per game

1,4

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

44%

32%

Both score Ø 47%

56%

37%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 10. · Zwolle 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	19	15	1	3	+23	46
2	Ajax	19	14	3	2	+55	45
3	Feyenoord	19	12	3	4	+24	39
4	Twente	19	10	5	4	+8	35
5	Vitesse	18	10	2	6	-2	32
6	AZ Alkmaar	17	10	1	6	+11	31
7	Utrecht	18	8	5	5	+8	29
8	Cambuur	19	9	2	8	-7	29
9	Nijmegen	19	7	5	7	-2	26
10	Heerenveen	18	7	4	7	-5	25
11	Groningen	20	5	7	8	-6	22
12	Go Ahead Eagles	19	6	3	10	-12	21
13	Heracles	19	5	4	10	-5	19
14	Waalwijk	19	4	7	8	-9	19
15	Willem II	19	5	3	11	-20	18
16	Sparta Rotterdam	19	2	8	9	-12	14
17	For Sittard	19	3	4	12	-28	13
18	Zwolle	19	2	3	14	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+15	24
2	Ajax	10	7	1	2	+35	22
3	Feyenoord	10	7	1	2	+14	22
4	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	1	1	+14	22
5	Utrecht	10	6	3	1	+13	21
6	Twente	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Heracles	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Cambuur	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	Go Ahead Eagles	10	4	0	6	-2	12
10	Heerenveen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Vitesse	8	3	1	4	-6	10
12	Waalwijk	9	3	1	5	-8	10
13	Willem II	9	3	1	5	-8	10
14	Groningen	9	1	6	2	+0	9
15	Nijmegen	9	2	3	4	-1	9
16	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	5	4	-5	8
17	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	For Sittard	9	2	2	5	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	2	0	+20	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	1	2	+8	22
3	Vitesse	10	7	1	2	+4	22
4	Feyenoord	9	5	2	2	+10	17
5	Twente	10	5	2	3	+2	17
6	Nijmegen	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cambuur	9	5	1	3	-4	16
8	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Groningen	11	4	1	6	-6	13
10	Waalwijk	10	1	6	3	-1	9
11	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	0	5	-3	9
12	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	3	4	-10	9
13	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-12	8
15	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	3	5	-7	6
16	For Sittard	10	1	2	7	-16	5
17	Heracles	9	0	2	7	-8	2
18	Zwolle	9	0	1	8	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.