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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Osasuna

S U S T T

1–0

Full-time

Villarreal

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

31%

42%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

35%

50%

Both score Ø 41%

35%

46%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%

12 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 11. · Villarreal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	26	18	6	2	+32	60
2	Sevilla	27	15	10	2	+21	55
3	Betis	26	14	4	8	+16	46
4	Barcelona	25	12	9	4	+18	45
5	Ath Madrid	26	13	6	7	+13	45
6	Sociedad	26	12	8	6	+2	44
7	Villarreal	26	11	9	6	+22	42
8	Ath Bilbao	26	9	10	7	+4	37
9	Valencia	26	8	9	9	-4	33
10	Celta	26	8	8	10	+1	32
11	Osasuna	26	8	8	10	-6	32
12	Vallecano	25	9	4	12	-2	31
13	Espanol	26	7	8	11	-9	29
14	Elche	26	7	8	11	-9	29
15	Getafe	26	6	9	11	-4	27
16	Mallorca	26	6	8	12	-18	26
17	Granada	26	5	10	11	-13	25
18	Alaves	27	5	7	15	-23	22
19	Cadiz	26	3	12	11	-18	21
20	Levante	26	3	9	14	-23	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	13	10	3	0	+17	33
2	Real Madrid	13	9	4	0	+20	31
3	Villarreal	14	8	4	2	+20	28
4	Ath Madrid	13	8	3	2	+11	27
5	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+14	26
6	Vallecano	13	8	2	3	+11	26
7	Sociedad	13	7	4	2	+4	25
8	Betis	13	7	2	4	+10	23
9	Espanol	13	6	4	3	+3	22
10	Getafe	13	6	3	4	+6	21
11	Ath Bilbao	12	6	2	4	+6	20
12	Elche	12	5	5	2	+3	20
13	Valencia	13	4	6	3	+2	18
14	Mallorca	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Granada	13	4	4	5	-4	16
16	Alaves	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Celta	13	4	3	6	+0	15
18	Levante	13	2	6	5	-5	12
19	Osasuna	13	2	6	5	-9	12
20	Cadiz	13	0	8	5	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Betis	13	7	2	4	+6	23
3	Sevilla	14	5	7	2	+4	22
4	Osasuna	13	6	2	5	+3	20
5	Barcelona	13	4	7	2	+4	19
6	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	-2	19
7	Ath Madrid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
8	Celta	13	4	5	4	+1	17
9	Ath Bilbao	14	3	8	3	-2	17
10	Valencia	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Villarreal	12	3	5	4	+2	14
12	Cadiz	13	3	4	6	-9	13
13	Granada	13	1	6	6	-9	9
14	Elche	14	2	3	9	-12	9
15	Mallorca	12	2	2	8	-17	8
16	Espanol	13	1	4	8	-12	7
17	Getafe	13	0	6	7	-10	6
18	Levante	13	1	3	9	-18	6
19	Alaves	13	1	3	9	-18	6
20	Vallecano	12	1	2	9	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.