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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
1–1
Full-time
Utrecht
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 24/22 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
46%
68%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 13. · Utrecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 24 18 3 3 +64 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 24 18 1 5 +29 55
3 Feyenoord 24 16 3 5 +34 51
4 Twente 24 13 6 5 +8 45
5 AZ Alkmaar 22 14 2 6 +17 44
6 Utrecht 22 11 5 6 +12 38
7 Vitesse 21 11 2 8 -7 35
8 Cambuur 24 10 3 11 -10 33
9 Nijmegen 24 8 7 9 -7 31
10 Groningen 24 7 8 9 -5 29
11 Heracles 24 7 5 12 -6 26
12 Heerenveen 24 7 5 12 -12 26
13 Go Ahead Eagles 24 7 5 12 -15 26
14 Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 -13 23
15 Willem II 25 6 4 15 -22 22
16 For Sittard 23 5 4 14 -27 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 23 3 8 12 -19 17
18 Zwolle 24 4 5 15 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Utrecht
1–0 L. Brouwers
R. Oratmangoen
33′
39′
🟨 Mark van der Maarel
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Douvikas
↦ H. Veerman
Philippe Rommens 🟨
59′
O. Heil 🔁
↦ C. Martina
63′
B. Lucassen 🔁
↦ L. Brouwers
63′
63′
🔁 M. Mahi
↦ M. van der Maarel
76′
M. Sylla 1–1
G. Botos 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
84′
84′
🔁 O. Boussaid
↦ B. Ramselaar
Cardona 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-4-2
23 A. Noppert G
15 C. Martina D
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers D
20 M. Deijl M
21 Iñigo Córdoba F
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
6 J. Idzes D
9 I. Lidberg F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (11)
19 O. Heil
2 B. Lucassen
30 G. Botos
29 Cardona
26 J. Bakker
7 M. Berden
31 J. Schuurman
37 E. Linthorst
33 N. Hengelman
17 F. Ross
27 J. Mulenga

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
16 F. de Keijzer G
2 M. van der Maarel D
33 M. van der Hoorn D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
6 A. Maher M
22 S. van de Streek M
23 B. Ramselaar M
27 Q. Timber M
18 H. Veerman F
29 M. Sylla M
Bench (12)
9 T. Douvikas
11 M. Mahi
26 O. Boussaid
31 T. Nijhuis
35 D. van der Kust
8 J. van Overeem
37 M. Mallahi
14 W. Janssen
32 E. Oelschlägel
3 T. St. Jago
30 R. Balk
46 R. Meissen

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,83
U ✓
3,64
B
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.