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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Kortrijk
T T T S T
2–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,8
This season — Pro League · 31/25 matches
Win Ø 56%
35%
76%
Points per game
1,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
35%
68%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 13
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 8. · St. Gilloise 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 25 19 3 3 +43 60
2 Anderlecht 26 16 8 2 +41 56
3 Antwerp 26 16 4 6 +19 52
4 Club Brugge 24 15 5 4 +19 50
5 Charleroi 26 13 6 7 +10 45
6 Gent 25 12 7 6 +17 43
7 Cercle Brugge 32 12 7 13 +7 43
8 Kortrijk 31 11 10 10 +5 43
9 Mechelen 27 13 4 10 +0 43
10 St Truiden 32 12 6 14 -5 42
11 Genk 25 12 5 8 +19 41
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 10 10 10 -2 40
13 Standard 30 9 8 13 -13 35
14 Oostende 30 10 5 15 -23 35
15 Waregem 31 8 8 15 -26 32
16 Eupen 31 7 8 16 -17 29
17 Seraing 29 7 2 20 -32 23
18 Seraing United 29 7 2 20 -32 23
19 Beerschot VA 31 5 4 22 -30 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk St. Gilloise
1–0 F. Selemani
8′
13′
C. Nielsen 1–1
L. Amani
18′
🟨 Christian Burgess
43′
🟨 Siebe Van Der Heyden
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 K. Kozłowski
↦ Cameron Puertas
D. Mbayo 🔁
↦ M. Moreno
57′
67′
I. Kandouss 1–2
C. Nielsen
D. Henen 🔁
↦ B. Messaoudi
74′
2–2 F. Selemani
D. Henen
76′
80′
🔁 K. Mitoma
↦ L. Lapoussin
Aleksandar Radovanović 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 Deniz Undav
Muhammed Badammosi 🟨
85′
87′
D. Undav 2–3
B. Nieuwkoop
91′
🔁 D. Marcq
↦ K. Kozłowski
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-4-2
31 M. Ilić G
5 T. Sainsbury D
66 A. Radovanović D
2 B. Reynolds D
25 N. Mehssatou D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
18 A. Kadri M
29 M. Moreno M
10 F. Selemani M
9 B. Messaoudi F
19 M. Badamosi F
Bench (7)
7 D. Mbayo
77 D. Henen
11 A. Benchaib
6 L. Rougeaux
8 A. Palaversa
27 M. Jonckheere
16 M. Deman

Coach: K. Belhocine

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
59 I. Kandouss D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
8 L. Amani M
23 Cameron Puertas F
9 D. Undav F
94 L. Lapoussin M
Bench (7)
64 K. Kozłowski
18 K. Mitoma
25 D. Marcq
19 G. François
24 I. Ziani
21 L. Pirard
4 J. Bager

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,95
U
3,91
B ✓
1,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.