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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Waalwijk
S T U T U
1–2
Full-time
Willem II
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
3,4
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 12. · Willem II 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 1 0 +26 16
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0 +3 10
4 Willem II 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Feyenoord 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Utrecht 5 2 2 1 +5 8
7 Nijmegen 5 2 2 1 -2 8
8 Twente 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 0 3 -3 6
10 Cambuur 5 2 0 3 -8 6
11 Vitesse 5 2 0 3 -9 6
12 Waalwijk 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
15 Heracles 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 For Sittard 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 AZ Alkmaar 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Zwolle 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Willem II
Alexander Büttner 🟨
14′
Half-time 0–0
S. Adewoye 🔁
↦ A. Büttner
48′
52′
K. Wriedt 0–1
60′
M. Köhlert 0–2
L. Daneels 🔁
↦ I. Bel Hassani
64′
72′
🔁 E. Kabangu
↦ C. Nunnely
72′
🔁 M. Svensson
↦ M. Köhlert
Ahmed Touba 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 R. Meerveld
↦ G. Sağlam
81′
🔁 E. Bergström
↦ K. Wriedt
A. El Bouchataoui 🔁
↦ A. Azhil
83′
1–2 M. Meulensteen
M. Kramer
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen G
28 A. Büttner D
2 J. Gaari D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
6 V. Anita M
11 I. Bel Hassani M
22 S. Bakari M
8 A. Azhil M
29 M. Kramer F
7 J. Odgaard M
Bench (11)
4 S. Adewoye
20 L. Daneels
14 A. El Bouchataoui
24 D. Van den Buijs
33 Y. Oukili
34 L. Wouters
15 L. Nieuwpoort
13 J. Teunckens
26 S. Augustijns
12 H. Mulder
31 I. El Maach

Coach: J. Oosting

Willem II

4-3-3
21 T. Wellenreuther G
3 F. Heerkens D
4 U. Jenssen D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
23 G. Sağlam M
17 D. Saddiki M
20 G. Roemeratoe D
9 K. Wriedt F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (11)
14 E. Kabangu
15 M. Svensson
16 R. Meerveld
5 E. Bergström
25 N. Michelis
19 J. Yeboah
24 C. van den Berg
18 M. Nelom
10 A. Kampetsis
26 J. Brondeel
28 V. Schippers

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U
3,52
B ✓
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.