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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Waalwijk
S T S T U
1–2
Full-time
Vitesse
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 10. · Vitesse 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Ajax 4 3 1 0 +12 10
3 Utrecht 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Heerenveen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Willem II 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 -2 7
7 Feyenoord 3 2 0 1 +4 6
8 Cambuur 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -2 5
10 Waalwijk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 For Sittard 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Twente 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 1 2 -4 4
14 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 0 3 -4 3
15 Vitesse 3 1 0 2 -7 3
16 Heracles 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Zwolle 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Vitesse
8′
D. Doekhi 0–1
M. Wittek
Alexander Büttner 🟨
21′
1–1 S. Bakari
R. van der Venne
27′
Michiel Kramer 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 O. Tannane
↦ T. Hájek
Richard van der Venne 🟨
50′
54′
Y. Gboho 1–2
O. Darfalou
59′
🔁 D. Huisman
↦ Y. Gboho
59′
🔁 P. Vroegh
↦ T. Domgjoni
L. Daneels 🔁
↦ A. Azhil
71′
I. Bel Hassani 🔁
↦ R. van der Venne
71′
73′
🔁 N. Frederiksen
↦ L. Openda
77′
🟨 Maximilian Wittek
A. El Bouchataoui 🔁
↦ A. Büttner
86′
Etienne Vaessen 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 J. Rasmussen
↦ O. Darfalou
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen G
28 A. Büttner D
2 J. Gaari D
59 A. Touba D
3 M. Meulensteen D
6 V. Anita M
10 R. van der Venne M
22 S. Bakari M
8 A. Azhil M
29 M. Kramer F
7 J. Odgaard M
Bench (12)
20 L. Daneels
11 I. Bel Hassani
14 A. El Bouchataoui
4 S. Adewoye
5 T. Lutonda
26 S. Augustijns
24 D. Van den Buijs
13 J. Teunckens
15 L. Nieuwpoort
31 I. El Maach
33 Y. Oukili
9 F. Stokkers

Coach: J. Oosting

Vitesse

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schubert G
18 T. Hájek D
2 E. Dasa M
32 M. Wittek M
3 D. Doekhi D
39 E. Cornelisse D
8 S. Tronstad M
22 T. Domgjoni M
20 Y. Gboho F
9 O. Darfalou F
7 L. Openda F
Bench (11)
14 O. Tannane
40 D. Huisman
36 P. Vroegh
11 N. Frederiksen
6 J. Rasmussen
19 J. von Moos
10 R. Bazoer
29 T. Buitink
27 R. Yapi
24 J. Houwen
48 N. van Haveren

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,27
U
3,66
B ✓
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.