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Premier League
Referee: A Madley
Fulham
T S T T S
0–2
Full-time
Man City
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 48%
41%
54%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
59%
62%
Both score Ø 65%
73%
57%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,28 xG 2,99
47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 10. · Man City 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 37 25 8 4 +45 +44.5 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 +34 +24.7 71
3 Man City 37 20 8 9 +26 +18.9 68
4 Newcastle 37 20 6 11 +22 +19.0 66
5 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 +20 +21.2 66
6 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 +9 +9.3 66
7 Nott'm Forest 37 19 8 10 +13 -3.5 65
8 Brighton 37 15 13 9 +4 +4.0 58
9 Brentford 37 16 7 14 +9 +3.6 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 +2 +3.0 54
11 Bournemouth 37 14 11 12 +10 +14.1 53
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 13 11 +0 +11.7 52
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 -3 -4.2 45
14 Wolves 37 12 5 20 -15 -13.7 41
15 West Ham 37 10 10 17 -18 -12.5 40
16 Man United 37 10 9 18 -12 -4.5 39
17 Tottenham 37 11 5 21 +2 -4.6 38
18 Leicester 37 6 7 24 -45 -39.3 25
19 Ipswich 37 4 10 23 -44 -39.7 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 -59 -52.1 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Man City
21′
İ. Gündoğan 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. Iwobi 🔁
↦ H. Wilson
61′
E. Smith Rowe 🔁
↦ Andreas Pereira
61′
72′
E. Haaland 0–2
J. King 🔁
↦ T. Cairney
74′
R. Sessegnon 🔁
↦ Adama Traoré
74′
74′
🔁 Savinho
↦ J. Doku
82′
🔁 P. Foden
↦ Omar Marmoush
S. Berge 🔁
↦ S. Lukić
85′
85′
🔁 C. Echeverri
↦ E. Haaland
85′
🔁 K. De Bruyne
↦ İ. Gündoğan
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
2 K. Tete D
5 J. Andersen D
15 Jorge Cuenca D
33 A. Robinson D
10 T. Cairney M
20 S. Lukić M
8 H. Wilson M
18 Andreas Pereira M
11 Adama Traoré M
7 R. Jiménez F
Bench (9)
17 A. Iwobi
32 E. Smith Rowe
24 J. King
30 R. Sessegnon
16 S. Berge
23 S. Benda
3 C. Bassey
22 Willian
12 Carlos Vinícius

Coach: Marco Silva

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
27 Matheus Nunes D
3 Rúben Dias D
25 M. Akanji D
24 J. Gvardiol D
20 Bernardo Silva M
14 Nico González M
7 Omar Marmoush M
19 İ. Gündoğan M
11 J. Doku M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
26 Savinho
47 P. Foden
30 C. Echeverri
17 K. De Bruyne
75 N. O'Reilly
6 N. Aké
16 Rodri
82 R. Lewis
18 S. Ortega

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,15
U
4,28
B ✓
1,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.