Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

League Cup

Referee: J Brooks

Brighton

S S S U U

3–2

Full-time

Wolves

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Brighton Wolves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

4,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 1

4 Offside 9

11 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 24. · Wolves 27. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Stoke	3	2	1	0	+7	7
3	Preston	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Fleetwood Town	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Watford	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Blackpool	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Brentford	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Wycombe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Leyton Orient	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Coventry	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Bolton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Barrow	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Derby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
21	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	-6	4
22	Man United	1	1	0	0	+7	3
23	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+4	3
24	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Sheffield United	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Oxford	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Rotherham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Millwall	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Tranmere	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	-2	3
40	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-3	3
42	Harrogate Town	2	1	0	1	-4	3
43	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Colchester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
54	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
55	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
56	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
86	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Preston	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Barrow	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Man United	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Tranmere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	QPR	2	0	1	1	-1	1
34	Colchester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
35	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
36	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
37	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Wycombe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Preston	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Leyton Orient	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Fleetwood Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Barnsley	2	0	1	1	-7	1
32	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Tranmere	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.