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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Vitesse

U S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Utrecht

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

63%

50%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

75%

63%

Both score Ø 76%

63%

88%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 4. · Utrecht 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+21	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+17	20
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
4	Vitesse	8	5	2	1	+4	17
5	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Heracles	9	4	2	3	-1	14
7	Feyenoord	8	3	4	1	+3	13
8	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Twente	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Willem II	8	4	0	4	-3	12
11	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	+2	10
12	Groningen	9	3	1	5	-2	10
13	VVV Venlo	8	3	0	5	-7	9
14	Zwolle	8	2	1	5	-7	7
15	FC Emmen	9	2	1	6	-8	7
16	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	For Sittard	8	0	3	5	-13	3
18	Waalwijk	9	0	1	8	-21	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Feyenoord	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Heracles	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Groningen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	VVV Venlo	4	2	0	2	-3	6
13	Twente	4	1	2	1	+1	5
14	Heerenveen	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Twente	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	VVV Venlo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-11	1
17	Waalwijk	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	FC Emmen	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.