Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Monaco
Lille
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | +9.1 | 19 |
| 2 |
Paris SG
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +15 | +12.7 | 17 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | -1.2 | 14 |
| 4 |
Reims
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | -1.7 | 14 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | +4.3 | 13 |
| 6 |
Lens
|
7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +3 | +4.4 | 11 |
| 7 |
Strasbourg
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | +1.8 | 10 |
| 8 |
Lyon
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +1.6 | 10 |
| 9 |
Nice
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +8 | +3.9 | 9 |
| 10 |
Nantes
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | -1.2 | 9 |
| 11 |
Brest
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | -6.6 | 9 |
| 12 |
Rennes
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +0 | +0.2 | 7 |
| 13 |
St Etienne
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -12 | -9.0 | 7 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -6 | -5.1 | 6 |
| 15 |
Le Havre
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | -4.6 | 6 |
| 16 |
Toulouse
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | +4.6 | 5 |
| 17 |
Montpellier
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -13 | -8.3 | 4 |
| 18 |
Angers
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | -4.9 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Teze
D
W. Singo
D
T. Kehrer
D
Caio Henrique
D
L. Camara
M
D. Zakaria
M
T. Minamino
M
A. Golovin
M
E. Ben Seghir
M
Coach: A. Hütter
L. Chevalier
G
T. Meunier
D
B. Diakité
D
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
A. Bouaddi
M
E. Zhegrova
M
A. Gomes
M
O. Sahraoui
M
J. David
F
Coach: B. Génésio
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rennes
Monaco
Dinamo Zagreb
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Monaco
Le Havre
Monaco
Barcelona
E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.