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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Monaco
S S S U S
0–0
Full-time
Lille
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 72%
86%
57%
Points per game
2,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,23 xG 0,25
51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 1. · Lille 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Monaco 7 6 1 0 +10 +9.1 19
2 Paris SG 7 5 2 0 +15 +12.7 17
3 Marseille 7 4 2 1 +8 -1.2 14
4 Reims 7 4 2 1 +4 -1.7 14
5 Lille 7 4 1 2 +5 +4.3 13
6 Lens 7 2 5 0 +3 +4.4 11
7 Strasbourg 7 2 4 1 +2 +1.8 10
8 Lyon 7 3 1 3 -2 +1.6 10
9 Nice 7 2 3 2 +8 +3.9 9
10 Nantes 7 2 3 2 +1 -1.2 9
11 Brest 7 3 0 4 -3 -6.6 9
12 Rennes 7 2 1 4 +0 +0.2 7
13 St Etienne 7 2 1 4 -12 -9.0 7
14 Auxerre 7 2 0 5 -6 -5.1 6
15 Le Havre 7 2 0 5 -8 -4.6 6
16 Toulouse 7 1 2 4 -4 +4.6 5
17 Montpellier 7 1 1 5 -13 -8.3 4
18 Angers 7 0 3 4 -8 -4.9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Lille
11′
🟨 Ayyoub Bouaddi
30′
🔁 G. Gudmundsson
↦ M. Bakker
34′
🟨 Thomas Meunier
Jordan Teze 🟨
41′
44′
🟨 Alexsandro Ribeiro
Half-time 0–0
Jordan Teze 🟥
61′
K. Diatta 🔁
↦ T. Minamino
63′
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ G. Ilenikhena
63′
70′
🟨 Osame Sahraoui
73′
🔁 M. Fernandez-Pardo
↦ O. Sahraoui
73′
🔁 R. Cabella
↦ A. Gomes
M. Akliouche 🔁
↦ E. Ben Seghir
79′
84′
🔁 N. Mukau
↦ E. Zhegrova
84′
🔁 M. Bayo
↦ A. Bouaddi
C. Mawissa 🔁
↦ Caio Henrique
88′
94′
🟨 Mohamed Bayo
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
4 J. Teze D
17 W. Singo D
5 T. Kehrer D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
18 T. Minamino M
10 A. Golovin M
7 E. Ben Seghir M
21 G. Ilenikhena F
Bench (9)
27 K. Diatta
36 B. Embolo
11 M. Akliouche
13 C. Mawissa
16 P. Köhn
20 K. Ouattara
88 S. Magassa
2 Vanderson
8 E. Matazo

Coach: A. Hütter

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
12 T. Meunier D
18 B. Diakité D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
20 M. Bakker D
32 A. Bouaddi M
26 André Gomes M
23 E. Zhegrova M
8 A. Gomes M
11 O. Sahraoui M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
5 G. Gudmundsson
19 M. Fernandez-Pardo
10 R. Cabella
17 N. Mukau
27 M. Bayo
13 A. Zedadka
1 V. Mannone
36 O. Touré
2 A. Mandi

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U ✓
3,71
B
3,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.