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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Brest
T T S S T
3–3
Full-time
Lille
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,01 xG 1,62
46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. May -25 Brest – Lille 2–0 6. Dec -24 Lille – Brest 3–1 17. Mar -24 Brest – Lille 1–1 22. Oct -23 Lille – Brest 1–0 24. Feb -23 Lille – Brest 2–1

Match report

Brest Lille
11′
⚽ O. Giroud 0–1
F. Correia
15′
🟨 Nathan Ngoy
Kamory Doumbia 🟨
18′
26′
⚽ H. Haraldsson 0–2
1–2 K. Doumbia ⚽
34′
Brendan Chardonnet 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 M. Fernandez-Pardo
↦ M. Broholm
2–2 K. Doumbia ⚽
M. Balde
51′
52′
🔁 A. Goffi
↦ O. Toure
66′
⚽ N. Mukau 2–3
N. Ngoy
68′
ℹ️ Ngal'ayel Mukau
VAR: Goal confirmed
72′
🔁 V. Burlet
↦ R. Perraud
3–3 J. Le Cardinal ⚽
K. Lala
75′
85′
🔁 A. Bouaddi
↦ N. Mukau
85′
🔁 N. Bentaleb
↦ H. Haraldsson
H. Makalou 🔁
↦ M. Balde
90′
L. Zogbe 🔁
↦ K. Doumbia
96′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Brest

4-3-3
1 R. Majecki G
77 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
26 J. Le Cardinal D
2 B. Locko D
23 K. Doumbia M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
8 H. Magnetti M
10 R. Del Castillo F
19 L. Ajorque F
17 M. Balde F
Bench (9)
12 L. Zogbe
18 J. Bourgault
33 H. Makalou
30 G. Coudert
28 H. Mbock
29 S. Diop
36 R. Le Guen
4 J. M. Diaz
11 A. Camblan

Coach: Eric Roy

Lille

4-2-3-1
1 B. Ozer G
36 O. Toure D
3 N. Ngoy D
4 Alexsandro D
15 R. Perraud D
17 N. Mukau M
21 B. Andre M
14 M. Broholm M
10 H. Haraldsson M
27 F. Correia M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (9)
44 A. Goffi
16 A. Bodart
43 S. Diaoune
28 U. Raghouber
32 A. Bouaddi
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo
42 I. Cossier
6 N. Bentaleb
41 V. Burlet

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,22
🔒
U ✓
3,41
🔒
B
2,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,87
🔒
U2,5
1,87
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.