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Ligue 1
Referee: Sebastien Moreira
Toulouse
T U U U T
2–2
Full-time
Strasbourg
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
24%
28%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
38%
66%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Toulouse 17. · Strasbourg 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 30 26 2 2 +73 80
2 Monaco 30 20 6 4 +42 66
3 Marseille 29 17 8 4 +25 59
4 Lyon 29 15 9 5 +25 54
5 Rennes 30 13 6 11 +3 45
6 Nantes 29 12 7 10 +0 43
7 Nice 29 12 6 11 -2 42
8 Montpellier 29 9 14 6 +3 41
9 Bordeaux 30 10 7 13 -6 37
10 Dijon 29 10 7 12 -14 37
11 St Etienne 29 9 9 11 -13 36
12 Caen 29 10 5 14 -11 35
13 Guingamp 29 9 8 12 -13 35
14 Angers 30 7 11 12 -9 32
15 Strasbourg 29 8 7 14 -19 31
16 Amiens 29 8 6 15 -9 30
17 Toulouse 29 7 8 14 -12 29
18 Troyes 29 8 4 17 -15 28
19 Lille 30 7 7 16 -19 28
20 Metz 29 5 5 19 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Dec -17 Strasbourg – Toulouse 2–1

Match report

Toulouse Strasbourg
A. Blin 🔁
↦ Y. Cahuzac
5′
Issa Diop 🟨
11′
Steeve Yago 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–1
46′
J. Blayac 0–1
B. Corgnet
A. Delort 🔁
↦ N. Mubele
60′
67′
🔁 A. Gonçalves
↦ S. Bahoken
C. Jean 🔁
↦ Somália
71′
78′
🔁 Y. Salmier
↦ J. Martin
87′
🟨 Abdallah Ndour
89′
🔁 I. Saadi
↦ J. Blayac
1–1 Y. Sanogo
Issiaga Sylla
89′
2–1 Y. Sanogo
91′
94′
S. Yago 3–1
own goal
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Toulouse

4-3-3
40 A. Lafont G
20 S. Yago D
12 Issiaga Sylla D
5 I. Diop D
2 K. Amian D
4 Y. Cahuzac M
19 Somália M
25 G. Imbula M
7 M. Gradel M
9 Y. Sanogo F
24 N. Mubele F
Bench (7)
27 A. Blin
10 A. Delort
8 C. Jean
1 M. Goicoechea
11 O. Toivonen
21 J. Durmaz
29 F. Moubandje

Coach: M. Debeve

Strasbourg

4-3-1-2
16 A. Oukidja
26 Bakary Koné D
22 E. Seka D
4 P. Martinez D
3 A. N'Dour D
28 J. Martin M
10 B. Corgnet M
11 D. Liénard M
8 J. Aholou M
13 J. Blayac F
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
17 A. Gonçalves
21 Y. Salmier
9 I. Saadi
33 I. Aaneba
35 L. Zohi
5 V. Nogueira
30 B. Kamara

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sebastien Moreira · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
11,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.