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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Toulouse

S U T T T

1–0

Full-time

Reims

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Reims

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Toulouse 16. · Reims 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+21	19
2	Marseille	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Lens	7	5	2	0	+9	17
4	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Lorient	6	4	1	1	+2	13
6	Lille	7	3	1	3	-1	10
7	Clermont	7	3	1	3	-2	10
8	Montpellier	6	3	0	3	+4	9
9	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Monaco	6	2	2	2	-3	8
11	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-4	7
12	Auxerre	6	2	1	3	-4	7
13	Nantes	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Reims	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	Strasbourg	7	0	5	2	-2	5
16	Toulouse	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Nice	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Brest	7	1	2	4	-9	5
19	Angers	6	0	2	4	-11	2
20	Ajaccio	6	0	1	5	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Lens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Marseille	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Rennes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Montpellier	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Clermont	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Troyes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Auxerre	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Strasbourg	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Lille	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Toulouse	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Brest	3	0	2	1	-7	2
17	Ajaccio	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Angers	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Nice	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+17	12
2	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Lille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Lorient	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Lens	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Clermont	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Nice	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Reims	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+4	3
11	Toulouse	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Brest	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	Troyes	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Auxerre	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Nantes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Angers	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Ajaccio	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.